inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 125 Excitement6.4 [572] MVPPaul Millsap (ATL): +57.0%
Atlanta Hawks 126 Comeback713.3 [5] LVPKevin Love (CLE): -26.2%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Korver0.320,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.32,0.320.060.270.01961%0.3200.0000%0.00
LeBron James0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.130.100.050.022162%0.153-0.021090%0.04
Channing Frye0.100,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.00-0.01875%0.1000.0000%0.00
JR Smith0.020,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.020.01-0.01-0.021045%0.0200.0000%0.00
Richard Jefferson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0310%-0.001-0.0000%0.00
Iman Shumpert-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.030.00-0.03333%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Deron Williams-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.01275%-0.002-0.0100%0.00
Kyrie Irving-0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.05,-0.030.24-0.160.103068%0.123-0.14683%-0.02
Kevin Love-0.260,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.26-0.14-0.19-0.071434%-0.034-0.23450%-0.06

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.68,0.570.570.060.540.031167%0.674-0.1011100%0.07
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.390.390.100.330.046100%0.401-0.0000%0.00
Kent Bazemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.060.060.040.050.03862%0.082-0.02580%-0.00
Dwight Howard0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.09-0.000.041270%0.092-0.04333%-0.02
Dennis Schroder0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.011350%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jose Calderon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Dunleavy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.040.000.05554%-0.0100.00367%-0.00
Taurean Prince0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.000.03650%-0.021-0.02250%-0.01
Malcolm Delaney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.07-0.00440%-0.0800.002100%0.01
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.110.00-0.031026%-0.062-0.03367%-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14-0.140.09-0.120.111555%-0.1400.00875%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.21.828.614.826.60.836.82.522.9161.0
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.52.217.9136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +25.4%
ATL +2.9%
CLE -7.1%
ATL +23.9%
ATL +5.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEATLNBACLEATLNBA
this game15.512.614.8110.6111.5107.7
season14.914.4113.5104.2
opponent14.914.7104.6109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
CLE12.118.116.517.212.815.5
ATL15.615.311.610.19.612.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Channing Frye48490.29-0.791.08-0.0612-132515.915.20.6914.211.42.76
LeBron James98970.24-0.740.970.182-3515.913.22.6813.010.22.76
Deron Williams17180.01-0.510.520.30-109-1914.415.7-1.3113.712.41.31
Kyle Korver6460-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.13-76-1315.216.0-0.8112.812.40.38
Iman Shumpert3740-0.47-0.03-0.430.21-2322-4515.315.6-0.2911.813.1-1.31
Kevin Love9091-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.7911-122315.615.30.2712.513.0-0.53
Kyrie Irving9695-0.510.01-0.52-0.779-101915.714.41.3112.413.7-1.31
Richard Jefferson4241-0.620.12-0.73-0.56-21-314.316.3-2.0112.013.0-1.01
JR Smith7374-0.630.13-0.77-0.723-4715.814.90.9211.914.1-2.19

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Muscala57550.86-0.361.210.3916-153111.413.9-2.4914.916.1-1.23
Kent Bazemore67660.78-0.281.050.3714-132711.614.1-2.4414.616.9-2.28
Paul Millsap78780.77-0.271.030.4710-91911.814.3-2.5016.313.92.37
Tim Hardaway Jr.79790.69-0.190.890.584-3712.113.8-1.7216.213.92.30
Malcolm Delaney29280.270.230.040.048-71510.313.4-3.1517.115.02.11
Taurean Prince52530.170.33-0.150.56-1314-2713.411.91.4915.915.10.79
Mike Dunleavy33330.050.45-0.39-0.095-4913.212.40.8813.616.3-2.71
Jose Calderon2524-0.040.54-0.59-0.257-61314.012.21.7715.015.7-0.66
Ersan Ilyasova4243-0.300.80-1.10-0.04-910-1914.511.52.9614.816.0-1.22
Dwight Howard4849-0.300.80-1.110.08-1314-2713.911.62.2916.015.20.81
Dennis Schroder5556-0.450.95-1.400.26-2425-4913.911.42.4115.715.30.45


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.16,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAL 123, CHI 1290.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.73,191.0%
SAS 119, LAL 980.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,088.1%
MIL 105, IND 840.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,088.0%