NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	123		Excitement	8.1 [217]		MVP	Toni Kukoc (CHI): +73.4%
Chicago Bulls	129		Comeback	146.1 [8]		LVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): -38.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0.41	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.34,0.27,0.41	0.13	0.30	0.02	21	77%	0.50	6	-0.09	5	60%	-0.07
Corie Blount	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01	0.05	-0.07	-0.01	15	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Byron Scott	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	2	17%	-0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Travis Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	5	42%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Elden Campbell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.03	-0.14	0.00	13	59%	-0.10	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.08
Derek Fisher	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	0.00	-0.14	0.00	4	64%	-0.14	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Jerome Kersey	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.10	-0.06	13	18%	-0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.25,-0.25	-0.01	-0.23	0.01	20	59%	-0.13	4	-0.12	6	50%	-0.17

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.73,0.73	0.73	0.21	0.61	0.08	16	77%	0.73	0	0.00	8	87%	0.13
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.07	0.04	8	65%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.06	0.06	26	60%	0.14	6	-0.13	6	83%	0.03
Ron Harper	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.03	7	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Dennis Rodman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.41,-0.41,-0.38	-0.38	-0.20	-0.24	-0.06	32	38%	-0.36	2	-0.02	14	71%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.2	2.7	27.1	16.7	31.2	2.7	47.1	2.7	22.9	175.2
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +29.8%

CHI +45.4%

LAL -25.9%

CHI +5.7%

LAL -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	15.6	113.9	119.4	104.4
season	15.3	15.5		105.8	110.5
opponent	16.1	15.7		99.8	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	15.5	13.0	12.7	16.0	17.2	14.6
CHI	14.5	18.8	15.0	13.3	10.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	22	23	0.32	-0.83	1.15	0.17	5	-11	16	13.5	14.9	-1.34	18.5	13.8	4.69
Byron Scott	35	37	0.21	-0.72	0.93	0.01	7	-13	20	12.2	15.8	-3.52	16.0	14.2	1.82
Corie Blount	26	26	0.18	-0.69	0.87	0.03	5	-11	16	11.5	15.6	-4.10	15.8	14.5	1.33
Travis Knight	12	14	0.16	-0.67	0.83	-0.07	8	-14	22	12.2	14.9	-2.66	16.2	14.6	1.59
Kobe Bryant	19	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.04	-5	-1	-4	14.0	14.7	-0.74	15.1	14.8	0.33
Jerome Kersey	72	71	-0.42	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	2	-10	15.2	13.4	1.83	14.5	15.5	-1.08
Eddie Jones	89	89	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.41	-6	0	-6	15.1	12.5	2.53	14.6	16.1	-1.48
Nick Van Exel	88	87	-0.65	0.14	-0.79	-0.38	-9	3	-12	15.1	12.6	2.41	13.7	19.4	-5.65
Shaquille O'Neal	90	88	-0.66	0.15	-0.81	-0.34	-11	5	-16	15.1	12.3	2.80	14.5	16.5	-2.05
Elden Campbell	87	86	-0.91	0.40	-1.32	-0.44	-16	10	-26	15.3	11.6	3.71	14.8	14.9	-0.10

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	69	71	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.20	22	-16	38	14.8	14.9	-0.06	14.8	14.3	0.52
Dennis Rodman	89	90	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.39	8	-2	10	14.0	18.8	-4.86	14.8	13.4	1.40
Michael Jordan	96	97	0.57	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-2	10	14.2	19.7	-5.44	14.8	12.7	2.10
Scottie Pippen	89	90	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.44	4	2	2	14.2	17.7	-3.52	14.8	13.5	1.33
Randy Brown	62	62	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	0	6	13.4	16.7	-3.32	15.2	13.8	1.48
Steve Kerr	33	32	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.00	5	1	4	17.5	13.7	3.86	12.7	15.4	-2.73
Jason Caffey	9	9	-0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.09	3	3	0	17.7	14.6	3.09	13.6	14.7	-1.15
Jud Buechler	3	2	-0.06	0.57	-0.63	0.03	-3	9	-12	8.7	15.0	-6.34	12.5	14.7	-2.15
Dickey Simpkins	13	12	-0.13	0.64	-0.77	0.04	-6	12	-18	13.0	15.1	-2.08	11.8	15.0	-3.13
Ron Harper	26	25	-0.14	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	13	-20	16.5	14.3	2.14	14.7	14.6	0.09
Robert Parish	21	20	-0.15	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	10	-14	20.7	13.4	7.30	13.9	14.8	-0.81
Bill Wennington	30	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	12	-18	16.2	14.3	1.89	14.8	14.5	0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 125, ATL 126	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.16,0.42,1	91.0%
ORL 110, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.33,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.83,1	90.4%
LAC 91, CHH 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.67,0.58,1	90.1%