NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	123		Excitement	5.8 [669]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +19.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	117		Comeback	4.0 [50]		LVP	Ricky Rubio (MIN): -17.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Langston Galloway	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.03	0.02	7	106%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.05	0.01	15	73%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	-0.00	9	76%	0.20	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Ty Lawson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	0.00	8	70%	0.17	1	-0.03	14	79%	0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	9	60%	0.06	1	-0.00	7	71%	0.00
Georgios Papagiannis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	10	38%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00
Skal Labissiere	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	70%	0.03	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Darren Collison	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	7	39%	-0.05	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.04	0.03	20	70%	0.21	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02
Brandon Rush	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	8	69%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	17	59%	0.14	5	-0.10	10	90%	0.02
Omri Casspi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	55%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	29%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Adreian Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.03	4	50%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.07	0.02	10	37%	-0.11	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.4	28.6	15.4	27.4	2.7	43.2	146.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +61.1%

MIN -9.6%

SAC +5.0%

MIN -6.6%

SAC +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	MIN	NBA	SAC	MIN	NBA
this game	13.6	14.1	14.8	117.1	113.6	107.7
season	15.4	15.3		106.0	109.3
opponent	14.7	14.6		110.2	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.9	13.7	13.0	11.9	13.6
MIN	12.3	14.0	16.5	13.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Lawson	58	57	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.16	18	-12	30	12.2	15.3	-3.11	14.3	13.9	0.37
Anthony Tolliver	64	65	0.68	-0.18	0.85	0.24	15	-9	24	12.8	14.9	-2.10	13.5	15.1	-1.64
Arron Afflalo	57	56	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-5	16	13.7	13.5	0.26	14.3	13.9	0.45
Georgios Papagiannis	44	43	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	1	4	14.1	13.3	0.81	14.0	14.2	-0.25
Buddy Hield	75	73	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.37	-3	9	-12	13.9	13.0	0.89	14.1	14.1	-0.05
Langston Galloway	31	32	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	-5	16	13.5	13.6	-0.07	14.5	13.9	0.54
Willie Cauley-Stein	61	59	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	7	-8	13.3	14.1	-0.81	14.4	13.7	0.76
Ben McLemore	37	36	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.22	-8	14	-22	15.1	12.8	2.33	14.2	14.1	0.11
Darren Collison	57	56	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.21	-11	17	-28	13.6	13.6	0.03	13.2	15.1	-1.86
Skal Labissiere	41	38	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	13	-20	14.9	12.8	2.10	15.1	13.5	1.64

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Rush	46	47	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-10	14	13.9	14.3	-0.41	14.8	12.7	2.11
Adreian Payne	18	18	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-12	18	11.7	14.6	-2.88	11.3	14.1	-2.74
Andrew Wiggins	84	86	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.47	13	-19	32	13.7	15.8	-2.08	13.8	12.8	0.93
Gorgui Dieng	76	78	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.30	7	-13	20	14.2	13.8	0.38	14.4	11.1	3.30
Ricky Rubio	81	83	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.49	12	-18	30	13.6	15.8	-2.13	13.9	12.6	1.28
Omri Casspi	26	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	2	-10	13.7	14.2	-0.54	14.0	13.5	0.58
Tyus Jones	26	27	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	6	-18	13.8	14.2	-0.39	11.1	14.5	-3.40
Shabazz Muhammad	33	31	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	9	-24	15.5	13.4	2.13	14.5	13.2	1.30
Kris Dunn	39	41	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	14	-34	15.1	13.5	1.62	12.3	14.4	-2.06
Karl-Anthony Towns	86	88	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.20	-17	11	-28	14.6	11.4	3.22	13.2	15.8	-2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 122, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
PHI 108, DEN 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.02,0.08,0	92.7%
LAL 103, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.15,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.3%