NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	122		Excitement	5.2 [778]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +23.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	4.0 [164]		LVP	Donatas Motiejunas (NOP): -7.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.28	0.03	0.08	22	76%	0.29	2	-0.06	11	73%	-0.02
Buddy Hield	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	10	81%	0.24	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.00	0.07	-0.08	14	78%	0.26	9	-0.11	4	100%	0.03
Langston Galloway	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.00	0.02	4	112%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	-0.01	0.05	8	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	8	39%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Tim Frazier	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02
Donatas Motiejunas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.00	0.03	22	68%	0.20	4	-0.07	9	100%	0.04
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.00	0.06	17	71%	0.17	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	8	44%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	28%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	58%	0.04	4	-0.08	6	67%	-0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.3	35.6	15.3	26.6	2.3	31.4	137.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +56.1%

MIN -2.7%

NOP +6.6%

MIN -11.4%

NOP +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIN	NBA	NOP	MIN	NBA
this game	14.2	14.9	14.8	123.2	107.1	107.7
season	14.1	15.3		104.1	109.3
opponent	14.7	15.0		110.2	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	14.1	11.8	13.6	17.9	14.2
MIN	14.2	14.3	15.2	16.4	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	44	44	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	2	12	14.1	14.2	-0.13	16.0	14.1	1.97
Jrue Holiday	79	79	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.03	15	1	14	13.9	15.2	-1.30	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Anthony Davis	74	73	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.02	13	3	10	14.4	13.5	0.91	15.0	14.7	0.37
Donatas Motiejunas	39	40	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.02	10	6	4	13.6	14.5	-0.86	15.0	14.8	0.20
Tim Frazier	41	43	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.16	13	3	10	13.2	14.8	-1.57	15.0	14.9	0.08
Solomon Hill	77	77	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.07	4	12	-8	14.4	13.2	1.20	14.6	15.9	-1.26
Dante Cunningham	57	56	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.01	3	13	-10	13.7	14.7	-1.00	14.5	15.5	-0.95
Langston Galloway	49	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	15	-14	16.1	12.3	3.76	15.1	14.8	0.34
Omer Asik	10	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	22	-28	13.0	14.3	-1.29	13.4	15.1	-1.76

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Aldrich	6	6	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.02	1	-17	18	12.2	15.1	-2.94	14.7	14.1	0.54
Nemanja Bjelica	26	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-16	16	14.0	15.3	-1.31	13.9	14.2	-0.32
Kris Dunn	16	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-14	12	15.9	14.7	1.20	15.6	13.8	1.77
Tyus Jones	18	17	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-11	6	15.0	14.9	0.09	17.6	13.4	4.21
Karl-Anthony Towns	77	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.00	-6	-10	4	14.9	14.9	0.03	14.1	14.3	-0.14
Andrew Wiggins	80	80	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.16	-2	-14	12	14.4	17.1	-2.69	13.5	17.1	-3.64
Brandon Rush	56	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	-11	6	14.6	15.4	-0.82	13.0	15.7	-2.67
Shabazz Muhammad	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.08	-14	-2	-12	15.7	14.4	1.32	14.9	13.6	1.33
Lance Stephenson	22	22	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	3	-22	17.0	14.3	2.66	15.9	13.7	2.25
Ricky Rubio	83	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.03	-14	-2	-12	14.7	15.9	-1.20	13.8	15.6	-1.77
Gorgui Dieng	69	70	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	-2	-12	15.3	14.1	1.14	14.1	14.3	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, BKN 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.13,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%
SAC 123, MIN 117	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.67,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.48,0.46,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	93.3%
UTA 103, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.54,0.45,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.21,0.1,0.19,0.25,0.17,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	92.7%