NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	105		Excitement	2.7 [1218]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +12.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	122		Comeback	1.2 [1206]		LVP	Dario Saric (PHI): -7.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	15	54%	0.06	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.03	8	67%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Long	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	10	80%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	0.00	0.04	2	71%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.12	9	83%	0.04	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01
Dario Saric	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	-0.01	-0.07	12	31%	-0.02	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.22	0.02	0.11	22	68%	0.15	2	-0.03	6	50%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.16	-0.00	0.07	16	73%	0.09	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	8	75%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.12	-0.00	0.08	9	78%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	14	55%	0.05	3	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	8	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Kay Felder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	29.4	14.8	23.0	2.7	28.6	126.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +19.8%

CLE +2.7%

CLE +11.8%

CLE +16.1%

PHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	14.7	14.3	14.8	107.1	120.8	107.7
season	14.5	14.9		101.9	113.5
opponent	14.7	14.4		109.6	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.5	15.2	15.5	13.4	14.7
CLE	13.2	13.0	13.9	17.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Long	43	46	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-22	27	14.1	15.1	-1.08	14.9	13.7	1.17
Tiago Splitter	15	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	-9	1	14.3	14.7	-0.48	14.6	14.2	0.44
Dario Saric	52	52	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.17	-13	-4	-9	15.6	13.7	1.88	14.7	13.9	0.78
Justin Anderson	62	64	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-15	13	14.4	15.1	-0.69	15.3	12.4	2.91
Nik Stauskas	53	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-13	9	15.1	14.2	0.96	15.3	13.1	2.15
T.J. McConnell	60	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-6	-5	14.3	15.2	-0.88	13.2	15.9	-2.68
Gerald Henderson	42	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.19	-18	1	-19	14.7	14.6	0.07	12.3	15.8	-3.48
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	88	90	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.06	-13	-4	-9	14.4	16.9	-2.48	14.5	12.6	1.84
Richaun Holmes	75	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.13	-21	4	-25	14.9	13.8	1.11	13.7	16.1	-2.40

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	65	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.47	31	-14	45	13.2	16.3	-3.15	15.2	13.7	1.43
Iman Shumpert	50	49	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	17	-17	16.9	11.7	5.15	14.7	14.6	0.12
Channing Frye	31	31	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	11	-5	16.5	13.3	3.28	15.4	14.3	1.04
JR Smith	58	56	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.23	17	0	17	12.5	16.7	-4.21	15.0	14.2	0.80
Kyrie Irving	67	65	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.23	17	0	17	13.0	16.7	-3.66	15.0	14.0	1.02
Tristan Thompson	64	63	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.24	17	0	17	12.8	16.8	-3.91	14.8	14.5	0.25
Kevin Love	65	63	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.19	15	2	13	13.1	16.4	-3.32	14.8	14.4	0.43
DeAndre Liggins	35	34	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.22	0	17	-17	16.9	12.9	3.99	14.2	14.9	-0.67
Deron Williams	34	34	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	15	-13	16.3	13.3	3.04	14.1	15.0	-0.85
Derrick Williams	22	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	29	-41	16.7	13.6	3.13	12.9	15.1	-2.17
James Jones	7	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	15.3	14.2	1.08	10.2	14.9	-4.71
Kay Felder	7	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	21	-25	15.3	14.2	1.08	10.2	14.9	-4.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 77, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
PHI 65, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
PHX 90, SAC 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%