NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	91		Excitement	7.7 [315]		MVP	Taurean Prince (ATL): +14.0%
Atlanta Hawks	95		Comeback	4.4 [571]		LVP	Marquese Chriss (PHX): -24.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Jones, Jr.	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Ronnie Price	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	4	37%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Eddie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	9	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Alan Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
TJ Warren	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	20	57%	0.13	6	-0.20	2	100%	0.02
Alex Len	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	9	43%	-0.05	3	-0.09	10	60%	-0.04
Tyler Ulis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15	-0.02	-0.09	0.04	16	44%	-0.12	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	-0.00	11	25%	-0.13	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Marquese Chriss	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.12	-0.09	0.03	11	27%	-0.16	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.04

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.08	-0.02	10	60%	0.21	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.02	8	71%	0.14	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre' Bembry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	15	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	27	49%	0.11	8	-0.25	1	100%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-0.02	9	11%	-0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	30.5	15.5	28.9	1.6	33.5	137.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +42.5%

ATL +12.9%

ATL +1.1%

PHX -8.0%

ATL +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	ATL	NBA	PHX	ATL	NBA
this game	13.8	13.8	14.8	87.5	90.5	107.7
season	13.9	14.4		105.4	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.5		104.6	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	17.5	12.3	14.4	11.6	13.8
ATL	12.0	14.4	15.0	13.7	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarell Eddie	41	40	0.45	-0.95	1.40	-0.05	17	-21	38	12.9	14.4	-1.54	13.3	14.0	-0.72
Alan Williams	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-3	2	14.4	13.5	0.93	13.3	14.0	-0.66
Ronnie Price	33	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.28	3	-7	10	12.9	14.2	-1.33	13.5	13.9	-0.46
TJ Warren	84	86	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.20	-1	-3	2	14.5	10.8	3.64	13.7	13.9	-0.15
Jared Dudley	79	80	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-5	6	12.3	18.5	-6.23	13.8	13.7	0.12
Alex Len	53	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	2	-8	13.8	13.8	0.05	14.6	13.0	1.60
Marquese Chriss	39	39	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	8	-20	16.4	12.2	4.24	13.6	13.8	-0.21
Derrick Jones, Jr.	73	73	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.24	-11	7	-18	13.9	13.5	0.39	14.0	13.2	0.88
Tyler Ulis	85	87	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.43	-10	6	-16	13.7	14.1	-0.39	13.6	14.5	-0.88

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	87	85	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.37	14	-10	24	13.5	15.1	-1.55	13.9	13.1	0.84
Dwight Howard	78	75	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.51	5	-1	6	14.0	13.1	0.94	14.0	13.2	0.81
Ersan Ilyasova	72	70	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.48	1	3	-2	14.0	13.3	0.64	13.9	13.5	0.47
Taurean Prince	79	79	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.35	5	-1	6	13.6	14.4	-0.87	13.7	14.1	-0.44
Jose Calderon	42	41	0.28	0.23	0.05	0.42	-5	9	-14	14.0	13.6	0.42	12.4	14.7	-2.23
Mike Muscala	25	26	0.10	0.40	-0.31	-0.08	6	-2	8	13.2	13.9	-0.75	14.2	13.6	0.59
Kris Humphries	23	25	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	0	4	13.3	13.9	-0.65	13.6	13.8	-0.25
Mike Dunleavy	38	38	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.19	7	-3	10	14.2	13.5	0.65	13.9	13.7	0.17
DeAndre' Bembry	13	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.11	-7	11	-18	12.7	13.9	-1.23	11.5	14.1	-2.64
Tim Hardaway Jr.	68	67	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.04	-10	14	-24	14.1	13.2	0.86	14.4	12.6	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.3,0.41,0.6,0.78,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 83, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.79,0.9,1,1	92.4%
UTA 98, LAL 102	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.98,1	92.2%
DET 91, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.7,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.33,0.43,0.53,0.41,0.65,0.78,0.93,0.95,0.99,0.99,1	91.5%