NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	83		Excitement	7.7 [327]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +30.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Comeback	2.1 [742]		LVP	Dante Exum (UTA): -14.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.01	13	74%	0.23	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.03
Boris Diaw	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Trey Lyles	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Withey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	40%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	14	41%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Joe Ingles	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	12	50%	0.04	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.11	-0.01	12	46%	-0.10	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
George Hill	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	10	39%	-0.07	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Dante Exum	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.06	0.22	-0.02	20	66%	0.51	6	-0.20	10	50%	-0.01
JR Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	10	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	19	49%	0.09	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	4	20%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	6	25%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	3	12%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.5	30.4	15.4	25.4	2.4	32.4	129.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +45.8%

UTA -10.0%

CLE +0.6%

CLE +11.7%

CLE +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CLE	NBA	UTA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	14.8	88.3	95.8	107.7
season	16.1	14.9		108.0	113.5
opponent	14.7	15.0		109.6	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.2	14.2	16.0	14.9	15.6
CLE	15.5	15.8	14.0	14.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Lyles	23	25	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-11	14	15.3	15.6	-0.33	12.4	15.8	-3.37
Dante Exum	36	39	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-10	12	16.8	14.8	2.07	14.8	15.0	-0.14
Boris Diaw	37	36	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.15	-5	-3	-2	16.2	15.1	1.09	12.3	16.5	-4.22
Alec Burks	43	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.11	-6	-2	-4	15.7	15.5	0.22	13.4	16.1	-2.73
Jeff Withey	9	7	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-2	-4	14.4	15.7	-1.23	11.9	15.2	-3.31
Gordon Hayward	64	65	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.32	-1	-7	6	15.8	14.9	0.91	16.1	12.4	3.64
Joe Johnson	55	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.35	-2	-6	4	14.8	16.6	-1.73	16.9	12.1	4.80
Rudy Gobert	69	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.44	-2	-6	4	15.8	15.0	0.75	16.0	11.8	4.14
Joe Ingles	70	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.21	-12	4	-16	15.3	16.2	-0.88	15.2	14.0	1.22
George Hill	64	63	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.30	-11	3	-14	15.0	16.8	-1.83	14.3	16.1	-1.71

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	78	77	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.38	14	-6	20	15.0	14.8	0.20	15.5	15.8	-0.26
Channing Frye	37	37	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-2	12	13.9	15.6	-1.74	15.7	15.5	0.20
JR Smith	62	60	0.55	-0.04	0.59	0.22	11	-3	14	14.1	16.5	-2.43	15.5	15.6	-0.10
Deron Williams	51	51	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.20	9	-1	10	14.6	15.3	-0.77	15.2	16.0	-0.74
Richard Jefferson	58	58	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	7	-6	13.7	16.9	-3.18	14.9	16.6	-1.76
Iman Shumpert	41	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	7	-6	15.9	14.2	1.72	16.0	15.2	0.86
Kyrie Irving	57	56	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	7	-6	15.8	13.7	2.07	16.3	14.5	1.77
DeAndre Liggins	0	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	10	-12	0.0	14.9	-14.93	4.0	15.7	-11.68
Kevin Love	36	36	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	13	-18	17.6	13.3	4.23	15.6	15.5	0.14
Tristan Thompson	55	54	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	8	-8	14.9	15.0	-0.13	15.7	15.4	0.27

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.67,0.64,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.32,0.53,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.79,0.9,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 98, LAL 102	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.98,1	92.9%
PHX 91, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.54,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.3,0.41,0.6,0.78,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	92.4%
DEN 98, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.63,0.52,0.43,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.6,0.61,0.81,0.85,0.94,0.98,1	91.9%