NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	107		Excitement	8.0 [273]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +29.8%
Houston Rockets	117		Comeback	2.5 [623]		LVP	Tim Frazier (NOP): -11.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,0,0.04,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.14	0.10	-0.00	24	61%	0.27	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
DeMarcus Cousins	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.16,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.01	25	53%	0.25	3	-0.08	5	80%	0.01
Jrue Holiday	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.04	-0.01	12	72%	0.18	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03
E'Twaun Moore	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	55%	0.10	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Hill	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.07	0.00	8	56%	0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.14,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.20	0.14	0.03	24	64%	0.38	3	-0.08	11	82%	0.03
Patrick Beverley	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.08	0.03	11	71%	0.17	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	0.00	10	60%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	54%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	10	61%	0.16	5	-0.12	3	67%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	10	36%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	8	28%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.6	28.2	14.0	26.0	2.5	33.6	131.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +7.7%

HOU +16.8%

HOU +41.3%

NOP -14.2%

NOP -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	HOU	NBA	NOP	HOU	NBA
this game	14.2	14.1	14.8	104.9	114.7	107.7
season	14.1	13.7		104.1	113.2
opponent	14.9	15.0		108.1	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.6	14.8	14.1	14.4	14.2
HOU	11.3	15.2	15.3	15.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Frazier	51	51	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-10	10	14.5	13.8	0.67	13.8	14.4	-0.59
Solomon Hill	76	77	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-7	4	14.2	14.0	0.24	13.8	14.9	-1.14
Dante Cunningham	55	53	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-7	4	14.3	14.0	0.37	13.9	14.2	-0.36
DeMarcus Cousins	62	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.18	-8	-2	-6	14.3	14.0	0.25	14.2	13.8	0.47
Anthony Davis	87	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	-1	-8	14.0	15.2	-1.20	14.2	13.5	0.66
Jordan Crawford	38	38	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	0	-10	14.0	14.3	-0.24	15.0	13.5	1.54
E'Twaun Moore	59	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	0	-10	14.4	13.9	0.43	13.5	14.8	-1.38
Jrue Holiday	82	83	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	-3	-4	13.9	15.5	-1.65	14.3	12.8	1.50

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	70	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.13	16	-6	22	14.1	14.0	0.04	14.2	14.2	0.04
Clint Capela	61	61	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.02	20	-10	30	14.1	14.0	0.06	14.4	13.8	0.58
Ryan Anderson	63	60	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	2	6	15.0	12.5	2.54	14.2	14.1	0.14
James Harden	80	80	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.17	12	-2	14	13.8	14.8	-0.97	14.2	14.0	0.28
Patrick Beverley	68	68	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.19	2	8	-6	14.5	13.1	1.41	13.8	14.9	-1.15
Trevor Ariza	69	70	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	2	6	14.1	14.0	0.13	14.7	13.1	1.58
Lou Williams	43	45	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	12	-14	13.1	14.8	-1.71	13.8	14.4	-0.59
Nene	41	41	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.23	-10	20	-30	14.0	14.1	-0.06	13.8	14.4	-0.58
Sam Dekker	15	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	14	-18	11.5	14.5	-2.96	14.0	14.2	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 97, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.96,1,1,1	93.6%
PHI 81, MIL 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.4%
GSW 90, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	92.8%