NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	81		Excitement	7.5 [327]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (MIL): +35.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	93		Comeback	2.6 [781]		LVP	Tony Wroten (PHI): -20.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nerlens Noel	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.04	0.01	11	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	0.00	7	86%	0.14	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.04	0.05	-0.04	19	38%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Malcolm Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
JaKarr Sampson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Davies	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	6	21%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Johnson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	11	17%	-0.13	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Wroten	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.05	-0.02	11	42%	0.01	8	-0.21	11	55%	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.18	0.16	-0.01	13	78%	0.36	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	43%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	10	80%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	12	32%	-0.01	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	16	37%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	11	46%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.3	29.4	15.5	29.6	2.6	31.3	134.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +30.4%

PHI -5.1%

MIL +12.7%

MIL +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	15.1	80.2	93.9	104.2
season	14.9	14.5		94.3	100.5
opponent	15.7	14.8		101.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.3	14.8	15.6	15.7	14.8
MIL	13.9	12.9	13.2	16.4	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Henry Sims	53	51	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.01	7	-19	26	15.6	13.9	1.65	14.3	13.7	0.59
Chris Johnson	62	62	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-11	10	13.9	16.2	-2.28	14.4	13.4	1.05
Brandon Davies	13	12	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-6	0	13.7	14.9	-1.25	10.3	14.5	-4.18
Nerlens Noel	69	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.05	-4	-8	4	15.4	13.3	2.11	15.6	10.4	5.18
Hollis Thompson	74	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.05	-4	-8	4	14.8	14.7	0.11	13.8	14.7	-0.98
Tony Wroten	74	74	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-6	0	14.2	16.4	-2.27	13.9	14.2	-0.25
Malcolm Thomas	49	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.17	-2	-10	8	13.5	16.0	-2.47	13.2	14.8	-1.60
JaKarr Sampson	11	10	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-6	0	13.7	14.9	-1.18	13.6	14.1	-0.46
KJ McDaniels	29	28	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.08	-10	-2	-8	14.4	14.9	-0.57	14.4	13.8	0.58
Alexey Shved	34	32	-0.41	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-1	-10	16.4	14.0	2.46	13.4	14.3	-0.94
Luc Mbah a Moute	52	50	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.29	-13	1	-14	15.3	14.2	1.08	14.3	13.7	0.55

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jabari Parker	67	67	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.14	15	-3	18	13.4	15.2	-1.79	14.2	15.9	-1.61
Larry Sanders	56	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-1	14	13.7	14.3	-0.60	14.6	15.1	-0.51
O.J. Mayo	54	56	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.19	10	2	8	14.7	13.2	1.49	15.5	13.9	1.61
Khris Middleton	60	60	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.10	11	1	10	13.7	14.5	-0.83	14.4	15.3	-0.82
Brandon Knight	62	62	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	6	0	13.7	14.5	-0.85	14.5	15.2	-0.65
Jared Dudley	35	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	6	0	13.7	14.2	-0.50	13.6	15.5	-1.91
Nate Wolters	19	21	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	7	-2	15.8	13.6	2.20	15.0	14.7	0.27
Kendall Marshall	12	12	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.02	4	8	-4	10.4	14.5	-4.09	13.6	14.9	-1.36
Jerryd Bayless	25	27	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	10	-8	16.5	13.2	3.36	15.9	14.4	1.51
John Henson	43	44	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	13	-14	14.3	13.7	0.60	15.1	14.6	0.51
Ersan Ilyasova	9	9	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	14	-16	15.1	13.9	1.21	19.4	14.3	5.12
Giannis Antetokounmpo	53	54	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.04	-9	21	-30	13.8	14.2	-0.43	15.0	14.5	0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.66,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.87,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 107, HOU 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.29,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.74,0.62,0.76,0.63,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.99,1	93.4%
LAL 97, MIA 107	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.96,1,1,1	92.9%
LAL 80, DET 88	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.69,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,1,1	92.7%