NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	5.3 [756]		MVP	Jeff Teague (IND): +13.1%
Boston Celtics	109		Comeback	1.3 [1076]		LVP	Monta Ellis (IND): -14.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Teague	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.16	-0.01	0.02	15	78%	0.19	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rakeem Christmas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	26	57%	0.10	5	-0.10	13	77%	0.01
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glenn Robinson III	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	7	44%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	10	25%	-0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.06	0.02	13	64%	0.13	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	6	92%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	55%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	21	56%	0.09	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Al Horford	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	10	60%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	60%	0.09	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	12	62%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	28.4	15.4	23.0	1.8	32.2	127.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +46.6%

BOS +2.9%

BOS +4.9%

IND -5.3%

BOS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	14.8	106.4	117.2	107.7
season	14.9	14.7		107.5	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.3	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.7	15.0	16.0	18.4	16.2
BOS	16.4	13.8	14.0	14.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rakeem Christmas	14	13	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-9	9	14.5	16.5	-2.01	13.5	14.8	-1.30
Glenn Robinson III	13	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-4	-1	13.5	16.7	-3.19	13.0	14.8	-1.84
Monta Ellis	48	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-9	9	16.7	15.7	0.93	14.2	14.9	-0.68
Myles Turner	55	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.22	0	-9	9	15.9	16.6	-0.69	15.2	13.6	1.58
Aaron Brooks	26	25	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	-1	-7	17.5	15.7	1.83	13.8	14.9	-1.07
Al Jefferson	25	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	0	-9	17.8	15.6	2.16	13.7	14.9	-1.18
Thaddeus Young	50	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-3	-3	15.2	17.4	-2.16	14.9	14.2	0.75
Lavoy Allen	41	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-4	-1	18.2	14.7	3.52	14.4	14.7	-0.27
Jeff Teague	67	67	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-8	7	15.9	17.0	-1.05	15.1	13.3	1.82
CJ Miles	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	15.1	17.4	-2.23	14.7	14.5	0.20
Paul George	82	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-5	1	16.5	14.4	2.06	14.7	14.1	0.57

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	69	71	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.08	16	-7	23	14.5	14.7	-0.17	15.8	17.6	-1.85
Kelly Olynyk	57	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-3	15	14.1	15.3	-1.23	17.2	14.5	2.64
Avery Bradley	76	75	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.25	4	5	-1	14.8	13.6	1.21	16.3	16.1	0.20
Isaiah Thomas	63	64	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	3	3	15.2	13.3	1.89	16.5	15.6	0.90
Jaylen Brown	29	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	6	-3	13.4	15.1	-1.65	15.6	16.5	-0.90
Tyler Zeller	17	19	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	1	7	14.1	14.7	-0.57	18.3	15.7	2.57
Amir Johnson	45	44	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	7	-5	15.4	13.8	1.59	15.9	16.5	-0.57
Al Horford	63	62	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.20	-2	11	-13	14.7	14.3	0.46	15.4	17.8	-2.47
Marcus Smart	46	45	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.22	-4	13	-17	13.9	15.2	-1.32	16.2	16.2	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.49,0.49,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 84, DET 96	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1	94.9%
ORL 100, SAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.91,0.83,0.92,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	94.7%
NOH 84, DEN 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%