inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 84 Excitement4.3 [953] MVPChauncey Billups (DEN): +38.0%
Denver Nuggets 113 Comeback1.1 [1080] LVPDavid West (NOH): -13.4%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic0.080,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.01-0.021062%0.101-0.0210%-0.02
Rasual Butler0.060,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.00-0.00667%0.0600.0000%0.00
Tyson Chandler0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.00-0.00-0.032100%0.063-0.032100%0.01
Sean Marks0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Antonio Daniels0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.030.00-0.03356%0.032-0.02367%0.00
Morris Peterson0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%0.0000.002100%0.00
Julian Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hilton Armstrong-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.04733%-0.0310.0040%-0.03
James Posey-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.09-0.00-0.05520%-0.012-0.0200%0.00
Chris Paul-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.021949%0.034-0.085100%0.04
Devin Brown-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.02233%-0.012-0.052100%0.01
David West-0.130,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.09-0.040.011633%-0.111-0.034100%0.02

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.380.380.360.040.021595%0.3800.008100%0.05
Nene0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.030.02-0.02863%0.112-0.04367%-0.01
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.00453%0.0300.00956%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.130.000.12687%0.0100.003100%0.00
Jason Hart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Renaldo Balkman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dahntay Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.01487%0.054-0.0600%0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00540%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.070.02-0.011243%0.023-0.06683%0.01
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.02-0.011847%-0.005-0.09475%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.834.119.632.33.434.3153.8
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.3140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +30.6%
DEN +12.2%
DEN +9.9%
NOH -1.4%
NOH -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHDENNBANOHDENNBA
this game17.013.615.589.4120.2106.4
season16.614.4105.9109.5
opponent15.715.6105.2106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOH14.719.717.516.517.0
DEN13.513.711.316.213.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Morris Peterson1716-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-262315.617.4-1.7815.513.22.29
Julian Wright1716-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-262315.617.4-1.7815.513.22.29
Sean Marks1212-0.02-0.480.460.01-1-282716.317.1-0.8116.713.13.62
Antonio Daniels2624-0.11-0.390.280.12-8-211317.516.90.6915.013.11.94
Hilton Armstrong3736-0.21-0.290.080.08-10-19916.417.4-1.0113.413.7-0.29
James Posey4242-0.21-0.290.070.46-23-6-1717.216.90.3113.014.1-1.16
Rasual Butler5254-0.22-0.280.060.19-14-15116.817.4-0.6113.813.30.43
Tyson Chandler5354-0.27-0.23-0.040.23-17-12-517.216.80.4213.513.7-0.14
Devin Brown2524-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-12-17518.616.52.1211.914.2-2.25
Chris Paul6870-0.39-0.11-0.280.23-21-8-1316.917.5-0.6913.115.0-1.94
Peja Stojakovic5656-0.39-0.11-0.280.17-19-10-917.915.82.1514.212.81.40
David West6566-0.40-0.10-0.290.01-14-15116.917.4-0.4912.615.9-3.22

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups69690.51-0.010.52-0.3730-13113.214.6-1.4216.817.7-0.87
Kenyon Martin61590.420.080.34-0.202181312.615.4-2.8217.017.2-0.21
J.R. Smith47450.340.160.17-0.5731-23313.313.9-0.6018.315.92.39
Nene62650.300.200.09-0.141514113.912.91.0017.516.11.36
Linas Kleiza47470.280.220.06-0.362271513.813.40.3817.017.1-0.13
Chris Andersen45430.230.27-0.03-0.382181313.014.1-1.0617.716.51.12
Carmelo Anthony52520.210.29-0.080.09425-2113.513.8-0.3016.817.3-0.44
Dahntay Jones42430.150.35-0.210.03425-2114.313.01.2915.618.3-2.69
Anthony Carter25250.070.43-0.36-0.16821-1314.113.40.7120.315.94.41
Jason Hart670.000.50-0.500.15-534-3916.213.42.7511.917.5-5.60
Johan Petro880.000.50-0.500.03-130-3117.113.33.8614.417.3-2.92
Renaldo Balkman670.000.50-0.500.15-534-3916.213.42.7511.917.5-5.60


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 77, PHX 990.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.7%
MIL 90, NJN 1100.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.62,0.74,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
MIN 91, DEN 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%