NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	8.2 [238]		MVP	Mirza Teletovic (MIL): +11.1%
Portland Trail Blazers	90		Comeback	3.0 [309]		LVP	Al-Farouq Aminu (POR): -16.4%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mirza Teletovic	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	8	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Snell	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	22	58%	0.17	4	-0.17	1	100%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	21	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
John Henson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.06	-0.00	6	50%	0.10	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Greg Monroe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	12	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	17	58%	0.14	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	62%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	-0.09	0.00	26	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.07,0.07,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	11	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	9	52%	0.05	4	-0.17	3	33%	-0.03
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.00	4	14%	-0.12	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	29.5	15.3	22.8	2.6	31.1	127.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +48.7%

POR -2.0%

MIL +1.6%

POR -1.9%

MIL +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	POR	NBA	MIL	POR	NBA
this game	15.1	15.7	14.8	98.9	96.8	107.7
season	14.9	14.9		107.4	108.6
opponent	14.5	15.3		109.8	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.0	14.1	16.3	15.1	15.1
POR	15.0	15.9	15.7	16.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	41	39	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.61	15	-12	27	15.6	14.8	0.77	15.4	15.9	-0.46
Malcolm Brogdon	48	48	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.69	0	3	-3	16.1	14.1	2.08	16.2	15.1	1.10
Tony Snell	67	66	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	-1	5	16.0	13.1	2.88	16.5	13.8	2.68
Giannis Antetokounmpo	69	69	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	-2	7	15.3	14.7	0.61	16.1	14.4	1.70
Khris Middleton	62	62	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.47	-8	11	-19	15.3	14.8	0.43	15.9	15.2	0.73
Mirza Teletovic	38	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	-6	15	13.8	16.1	-2.29	14.4	16.5	-2.16
Greg Monroe	43	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.12	3	0	3	14.1	16.0	-1.82	15.3	16.0	-0.71
Thon Maker	5	5	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.12	-8	11	-19	19.8	14.9	4.93	19.0	15.5	3.51
Jason Terry	45	43	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.19	-1	4	-5	14.8	15.5	-0.71	15.0	16.2	-1.22
Matthew Dellavedova	52	51	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.20	-4	7	-11	14.1	16.4	-2.35	15.0	16.5	-1.54

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Noah Vonleh	51	51	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.25	12	-15	27	16.6	14.5	2.10	16.7	13.3	3.45
Shabazz Napier	5	5	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.03	0	-3	3	17.8	15.6	2.24	20.0	14.9	5.15
Meyers Leonard	17	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	5	-13	13.2	16.2	-3.06	11.2	16.0	-4.82
Maurice Harkless	54	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.49	11	-14	25	16.7	14.3	2.40	16.3	13.4	2.94
Damian Lillard	74	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.37	6	-9	15	16.3	13.1	3.23	16.1	11.8	4.27
Al-Farouq Aminu	42	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	6	-15	14.5	16.7	-2.19	13.2	16.6	-3.34
Jusuf Nurkic	49	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-4	5	16.1	15.2	0.81	16.1	14.0	2.04
Allen Crabbe	62	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-1	-1	14.9	17.2	-2.23	14.9	15.5	-0.58
Evan Turner	41	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	14	-31	14.4	16.7	-2.30	12.4	17.4	-5.04
CJ McCollum	70	71	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.37	-9	6	-15	15.8	15.2	0.61	14.9	15.8	-0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.08,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.34,0.28,0.62,0.71,0.45,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, OKC 96	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.21,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.32,0.26,0	90.7%
CLE 90, SAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.65,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.24,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.45,0.28,0	90.6%
MIN 91, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.26,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.11,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.21,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.55,0.55,0.23,0.16,0	90.4%