NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	105		Excitement	3.3 [1142]		MVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): +16.9%
LA Clippers	114		Comeback	1.1 [1229]		LVP	Courtney Lee (NYK): -6.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.03	11	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	14	52%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	16	56%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	8	61%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ron Baker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	5	80%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marshall Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	3	40%	0.01	2	-0.00	4	0%	-0.03
Kyle O'Quinn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Thomas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chasson Randle	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.01	0.08	3	70%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	6	53%	-0.02	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.02	0.02	19	67%	0.19	1	-0.02	7	43%	-0.05
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	9	78%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	10	68%	0.09	3	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	58%	0.05	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.00	0.04	11	57%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.00	0.03	11	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	5	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	3.4	32.5	17.5	23.5	3.3	34.6	139.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +43.7%

LAC +2.6%

NYK -6.5%

LAC +6.0%

LAC +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAC	NBA	NYK	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.5	14.8	108.2	115.2	107.7
season	15.0	15.0		106.6	110.8
opponent	14.8	14.7		106.6	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.5	15.3	15.6	13.3	14.9
LAC	13.3	13.0	16.3	15.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-17	25	9.4	15.3	-5.90	14.7	14.5	0.25
Chasson Randle	23	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.32	10	-19	29	12.7	15.6	-2.96	13.7	14.7	-0.97
Ron Baker	40	41	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.42	11	-20	31	14.3	15.4	-1.08	15.3	13.9	1.34
Kyle O'Quinn	6	5	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.04	-5	-4	-1	15.5	14.9	0.63	15.4	14.4	0.96
Marshall Plumlee	39	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.43	10	-19	29	14.3	15.3	-0.96	14.9	14.2	0.78
Willy Hernangomez	35	36	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.15	-12	3	-15	16.4	14.1	2.29	12.3	15.7	-3.38
Lance Thomas	28	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	0	-9	15.4	14.7	0.68	16.8	13.5	3.37
Mindaugas Kuzminskas	34	34	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-4	-1	15.5	14.6	0.96	14.8	14.3	0.47
Courtney Lee	46	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-1	-7	15.2	14.7	0.51	13.1	15.7	-2.58
Carmelo Anthony	52	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	5	-19	15.3	14.5	0.78	14.3	14.7	-0.35
Justin Holiday	51	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.15	-4	-5	1	15.0	14.8	0.15	15.9	12.8	3.06
Kristaps Porzingis	67	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-2	-5	14.7	15.3	-0.57	14.3	14.9	-0.62
Derrick Rose	57	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.18	-20	11	-31	15.4	14.3	1.08	13.9	15.3	-1.34

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	63	62	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.19	21	-12	33	14.5	14.5	-0.07	15.2	14.5	0.70
DeAndre Jordan	57	56	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.16	16	-7	23	14.6	14.3	0.35	15.1	14.6	0.52
Jamal Crawford	60	58	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.27	1	8	-7	15.0	13.7	1.27	14.5	15.6	-1.10
Luc Mbah a Moute	44	42	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.14	15	-6	21	13.8	15.0	-1.16	15.8	14.2	1.59
Chris Paul	57	56	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.26	19	-10	29	14.8	14.1	0.64	15.2	14.5	0.73
JJ Redick	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	0	9	13.7	15.2	-1.55	15.1	14.7	0.39
Raymond Felton	42	41	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.50	-10	19	-29	14.1	14.8	-0.64	14.5	15.2	-0.73
Austin Rivers	47	46	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.39	-7	16	-23	15.0	14.1	0.90	14.4	15.3	-0.90
Marreese Speights	31	32	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.12	2	7	-5	14.5	14.5	-0.05	15.9	14.4	1.49
Paul Pierce	22	22	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	10	-11	14.2	14.6	-0.33	16.4	14.5	1.94
Brandon Bass	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	20	-31	15.0	14.4	0.60	11.2	15.5	-4.33
Wesley Johnson	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	18	-27	15.2	14.4	0.80	10.0	15.4	-5.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 81, SAS 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
SAS 87, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.0%
ORL 91, MIL 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%