inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 87 Excitement2.8 [1190] MVPGary Payton (LAL): +5.9%
Los Angeles Lakers 103 Comeback1.2 [1069] LVPManu Ginobili (SAS): -9.6%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Willis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.050.000.05667%0.0000.0000%0.00
Devin Brown-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.01856%-0.001-0.002100%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.060.000.074100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Rasho Nesterovic-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.03450%0.022-0.0300%0.00
Jason Hart-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02450%-0.0100.00850%-0.00
Ron Mercer-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02533%-0.031-0.002100%0.00
Tony Parker-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.080.00-0.041735%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.02621%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Robert Horry-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.0020%-0.0600.0020%-0.03
Malik Rose-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.000.01540%-0.051-0.02580%0.01
Tim Duncan-0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.021039%-0.051-0.03862%-0.02
Manu Ginobili-0.100,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.12-0.00-0.021148%-0.035-0.07560%-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Payton0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.110.000.061174%0.0600.001100%0.00
Devean George0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.120.000.079100%0.123-0.061100%0.00
Derek Fisher0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.000.01590%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.02275%0.0400.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.01-0.011353%0.0400.00667%-0.01
Slava Medvedenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.00-0.01743%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kareem Rush0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.100.000.10692%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Walton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jannero Pargo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.070.00-0.0730%0.0010.0000%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01950%0.021-0.022100%0.01
Horace Grant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.13-0.00-0.09725%-0.023-0.022100%0.01
Shaquille O'Neal0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.160.00-0.06633%-0.063-0.04933%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.32.833.717.728.83.027.2140.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +50.4%
LAL +5.6%
SAS -2.9%
LAL +0.1%
SAS -3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASLALNBASASLALNBA
this game15.914.915.793.5109.6100.5
season15.915.4100.1102.8
opponent15.615.899.092.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS17.516.515.114.215.9
LAL13.214.813.119.114.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Willis1819-0.00-0.500.50-0.4114-304414.116.3-2.1718.614.04.55
Devin Brown3334-0.02-0.480.47-0.258-243214.916.4-1.4717.413.63.82
Robert Horry1617-0.04-0.460.42-0.102-182014.916.1-1.1116.214.71.50
Ron Mercer4241-0.10-0.400.29-0.224-202415.016.5-1.5316.413.82.65
Jason Hart3435-0.11-0.390.28-0.4010-263615.915.80.1317.013.73.23
Hedo Turkoglu3738-0.21-0.290.07-0.303-192215.815.9-0.0814.615.2-0.66
Malik Rose3131-0.24-0.260.020.11-12-4-816.015.80.1615.814.51.33
Rasho Nesterovic5253-0.26-0.24-0.020.30-193-2216.215.40.8014.216.0-1.78
Bruce Bowen3838-0.27-0.23-0.040.17-15-1-1415.815.9-0.1614.015.6-1.55
Tony Parker5959-0.39-0.11-0.280.37-2610-3615.815.9-0.1313.717.0-3.23
Manu Ginobili5153-0.40-0.10-0.290.19-204-2416.515.01.5313.816.4-2.65
Tim Duncan5452-0.46-0.04-0.420.39-2913-4217.014.32.7212.817.5-4.70

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobe Bryant61620.390.110.28-0.3124-83213.318.0-4.7516.913.83.03
Karl Malone54540.390.110.28-0.3425-93413.317.1-3.7916.115.50.69
Shaquille O'Neal49500.390.110.27-0.3224-83212.717.4-4.7117.214.32.85
Gary Payton58570.370.130.23-0.3424-83213.916.6-2.7016.015.70.27
Devean George55550.360.140.21-0.3524-83213.616.8-3.2015.815.9-0.10
Derek Fisher43420.270.230.050.10610-416.114.02.1115.716.0-0.22
Bryon Russell35350.130.37-0.240.37-824-3217.013.73.2315.516.1-0.60
Slava Medvedenko34330.110.39-0.270.17-218-2017.013.83.2216.615.51.11
Horace Grant35330.090.41-0.320.24-521-2617.713.34.3214.316.7-2.46
Kareem Rush22210.000.50-0.500.38-1329-4219.113.75.4714.216.3-2.10
Luke Walton16150.000.50-0.500.35-1228-4017.014.52.4713.416.3-2.93
Jannero Pargo880.000.50-0.500.21-723-3017.714.73.0612.116.2-4.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 79, TOR 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%
DEN 114, LAL 1320.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.3%
NOK 78, PHX 1150.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.2%