NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets	78		Excitement	2.9 [1216]		MVP	Eddie House (PHX): +9.5%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	1.1 [1198]		LVP	Chris Paul (NOK): -8.7%

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Arvydas Macijauskas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	8	58%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Desmond Mason	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	11	45%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linton Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	9	22%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.07	7	14%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	7	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	0.02	10	46%	-0.03	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.01	-0.06	12	58%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.00	0.06	13	73%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.15	0.01	0.06	9	87%	0.11	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	0.01	0.09	13	77%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	3	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	7	75%	0.03	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.6	24.8	15.5	26.1	1.7	22.2	115.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +65.0%

NOK -10.3%

NOK -6.0%

NOK -0.2%

PHX +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOK	PHX	NBA	NOK	PHX	NBA
this game	17.5	13.2	15.6	83.0	122.3	104.4
season	16.3	13.8		101.2	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.3		105.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOK	17.5	17.8	16.5	18.2	17.5
PHX	12.5	13.5	13.5	13.1	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Fizer	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.34	-12	-25	13	17.0	17.7	-0.70	13.3	13.1	0.16
Arvydas Macijauskas	22	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.27	-11	-26	15	18.6	17.1	1.51	12.3	13.4	-1.10
P.J. Brown	41	41	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.13	-10	-27	17	17.2	17.7	-0.42	13.4	12.9	0.50
Kirk Snyder	14	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-28	19	18.5	17.3	1.20	13.6	13.1	0.53
Moochie Norris	37	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.49	-23	-14	-9	18.3	16.9	1.39	13.3	13.1	0.19
Linton Johnson	50	48	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.49	-25	-12	-13	17.5	17.4	0.09	13.1	13.2	-0.03
Marc Jackson	49	48	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.43	-23	-14	-9	17.7	17.2	0.45	13.4	12.9	0.53
Rasual Butler	42	42	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.18	-15	-22	7	18.1	17.0	1.07	13.0	13.2	-0.20
Desmond Mason	48	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	-23	9	17.0	18.0	-1.06	13.0	13.3	-0.24
Brandon Bass	28	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.25	-18	-19	1	18.7	16.9	1.81	12.1	13.6	-1.48
J.R. Smith	48	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	-26	15	16.2	18.8	-2.68	13.7	12.6	1.11
Chris Paul	57	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	-23	9	16.9	18.3	-1.39	13.1	13.3	-0.19

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	78	77	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.28	25	12	13	13.5	11.6	1.85	17.4	17.9	-0.56
Boris Diaw	44	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.27	24	13	11	13.4	12.9	0.51	17.8	17.2	0.66
Raja Bell	70	70	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.42	25	12	13	12.8	14.2	-1.35	17.5	17.5	0.03
Steve Nash	50	49	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.24	17	20	-3	13.2	13.1	0.09	17.5	17.5	0.02
Brian Grant	37	37	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	26	-15	13.6	12.9	0.67	16.5	18.1	-1.55
James Jones	57	58	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.43	23	14	9	12.9	13.5	-0.54	17.2	18.0	-0.84
Tim Thomas	45	44	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.20	15	22	-7	13.3	13.1	0.21	17.5	17.4	0.13
Eddie House	44	45	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.35	20	17	3	13.1	13.2	-0.09	17.5	17.5	-0.02
Pat Burke	22	22	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.27	11	26	-15	12.3	13.4	-1.10	18.6	17.1	1.51
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	23	23	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.40	14	23	-9	13.1	13.2	-0.10	18.2	17.2	0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, LAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
SAC 93, POR 105	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
CHI 86, UTA 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%