NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	86		Excitement	3.1 [1165]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +18.8%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	1.1 [1140]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -7.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.05	20	51%	0.03	0	0.00	11	82%	0.01
James Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	59%	0.02	1	-0.00	5	80%	0.01
Taj Gibson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	80%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	17	56%	0.03	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Gray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Joakim Noah	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.10	0.00	-0.08	9	33%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	0.00	9	39%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.22	0.01	0.04	14	85%	0.23	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	9	67%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	11	81%	0.09	4	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	46%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	7	25%	-0.04	3	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.7	29.1	20.8	34.0	3.0	28.2	143.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +46.5%

CHI -1.4%

UTA +2.1%

UTA +0.1%

UTA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	UTA	NBA	CHI	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	17.1	15.3	93.5	120.7	106.0
season	14.7	15.3		101.9	109.5
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.5	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.4	14.5	14.8	16.0	15.1
UTA	20.6	15.6	15.8	16.7	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lindsey Hunter	17	15	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-19	19	13.6	15.5	-1.83	15.9	17.3	-1.48
John Salmons	54	54	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.09	0	-19	19	16.1	13.7	2.39	17.9	15.8	2.00
Joakim Noah	62	61	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.05	-2	-17	15	15.6	14.3	1.30	17.3	16.6	0.68
Aaron Gray	14	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-14	9	16.0	15.0	1.01	17.3	17.1	0.21
Luol Deng	72	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-13	7	15.0	15.8	-0.84	17.4	15.6	1.80
Taj Gibson	54	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-6	-7	15.6	14.4	1.23	17.4	16.7	0.73
James Johnson	38	34	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	-4	-11	14.7	15.4	-0.69	16.2	17.7	-1.45
Brad Miller	30	28	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	0	-19	13.7	15.8	-2.09	15.6	17.8	-2.19
Jannero Pargo	46	41	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-7	-5	13.8	16.5	-2.76	17.1	17.1	-0.04
Derrick Rose	73	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.22	-23	4	-27	15.7	13.0	2.70	17.0	17.3	-0.30

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	69	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.19	22	-3	25	17.0	17.3	-0.30	15.7	12.9	2.73
Paul Millsap	55	56	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.09	16	3	13	16.6	18.0	-1.44	15.0	15.3	-0.32
Andrei Kirilenko	52	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	0	19	16.3	18.2	-1.90	15.1	15.2	-0.17
Carlos Boozer	64	68	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	5	9	17.0	17.3	-0.29	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Eric Maynor	29	31	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	10	-1	17.6	16.9	0.69	14.6	15.4	-0.75
Mehmet Okur	50	54	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.06	11	8	3	17.4	16.6	0.77	15.4	14.7	0.73
Ronnie Brewer	73	76	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	13	-7	17.0	17.8	-0.83	14.8	16.8	-2.02
Wesley Matthews	38	40	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	18	-17	18.2	16.3	1.89	15.3	15.0	0.28
Kosta Koufos	5	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	22	-25	20.6	16.9	3.72	16.0	15.1	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 80, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
NOK 78, PHX 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
CHI 91, GSW 99	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	96.7%