NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	8.0 [260]		MVP	Jae Crowder (BOS): +44.4%
Brooklyn Nets	95		Comeback	1.7 [894]		LVP	Terry Rozier (BOS): -13.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0.44	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.20	0.27	0.02	11	83%	0.47	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Gerald Green	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	-0.01	8	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.05	-0.02	0.07	0.00	16	41%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	75%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Amir Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	64%	0.06	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Kelly Olynyk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	6	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jonas Jerebko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	13	52%	0.05	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.01
Jaylen Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.08	-0.07	0.01	0.01	14	36%	0.00	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.06
Terry Rozier	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.15	-0.05	-0.06	8	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.04	0.01	7	78%	0.18	1	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.01	9	55%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	71%	0.10	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Caris LeVert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	6	36%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	11	38%	0.03	1	-0.05	4	50%	-0.03
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.03	18	55%	0.03	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Isaiah Whitehead	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	7	12%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.8	30.3	15.3	30.6	2.3	37.6	142.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.2%

BKN -1.2%

BOS +25.0%

BKN -6.7%

BOS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	BKN	NBA	BOS	BKN	NBA
this game	14.7	14.3	14.8	99.0	95.0	107.7
season	14.7	13.7		110.1	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.9		109.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	14.0	13.4	17.3	14.7
BKN	14.0	14.3	14.8	14.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	76	76	0.83	-0.33	1.17	0.54	10	-7	17	14.2	16.3	-2.09	13.8	16.0	-2.20
Avery Bradley	73	72	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.38	12	-9	21	14.3	15.8	-1.51	14.0	15.0	-0.94
Gerald Green	30	32	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.36	5	-2	7	16.3	14.0	2.31	16.9	13.1	3.80
Al Horford	61	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.50	-3	6	-9	14.4	15.1	-0.73	13.6	15.3	-1.67
Terry Rozier	42	41	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.18	6	-3	9	16.8	13.1	3.74	16.7	12.6	4.10
Amir Johnson	50	50	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	0	3	13.4	15.9	-2.46	13.4	15.2	-1.78
Kelly Olynyk	39	39	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.11	8	-5	13	15.1	14.3	0.78	15.3	13.6	1.67
Jonas Jerebko	12	13	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	3	-3	16.9	14.3	2.57	18.1	13.7	4.35
Marcus Smart	67	68	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.09	-8	11	-19	13.7	16.6	-2.91	12.1	18.8	-6.70
Tyler Zeller	14	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.02	-5	8	-13	16.1	14.4	1.65	14.3	14.3	0.05
Jaylen Brown	31	33	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.05	-13	16	-29	14.7	14.6	0.12	14.8	14.0	0.79

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	37	38	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.02	3	-6	9	12.1	15.6	-3.55	13.3	15.5	-2.22
Andrew Nicholson	31	31	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.06	4	-7	11	15.7	13.6	2.10	16.4	13.9	2.57
Jeremy Lin	50	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.16	4	-7	11	12.1	16.5	-4.46	13.3	16.0	-2.66
Randy Foye	58	59	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.23	4	-7	11	12.5	16.7	-4.18	14.3	15.1	-0.79
Isaiah Whitehead	45	44	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	1	-5	16.2	12.7	3.47	15.4	14.1	1.35
Caris LeVert	55	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-4	5	13.1	15.8	-2.66	14.1	15.4	-1.35
KJ McDaniels	37	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	6	-15	16.5	13.0	3.53	14.4	14.8	-0.33
Spencer Dinwiddie	55	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	3	-9	16.3	11.8	4.49	16.4	12.7	3.74
Brook Lopez	69	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.40	-6	3	-9	13.6	15.7	-2.10	13.9	16.4	-2.57
Quincy Acy	63	61	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.43	-6	3	-9	15.6	12.1	3.55	15.5	13.3	2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.41,0.35,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.03,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 92, VAN 82	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.36,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.52,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.39,0.32,0.16,0.01,0,0	91.4%
MIA 84, BOS 77	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.3,0.17,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.26,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.13,0.02,0,0	91.3%
BKN 94, TOR 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.45,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.22,0.04,0.02,0	91.2%