NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	97		Excitement	7.8 [296]		MVP	DeAndre Jordan (LAC): +21.1%
LA Clippers	96		Comeback	2.5 [256]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -40.8%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matthew Dellavedova	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18	0.04	0.14	-0.00	8	71%	0.25	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Mirza Teletovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	9	55%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Greg Monroe	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	10	50%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Khris Middleton	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.01	8	70%	0.15	4	-0.09	7	100%	0.07
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06	0.02	0.06	0.02	10	55%	0.11	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.03
Malcolm Brogdon	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thon Maker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Snell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	9	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.11	0.03	12	76%	0.30	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.02	8	74%	0.22	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	5	82%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.03
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	5	20%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,-0.09	-0.09	0.06	-0.17	-0.02	12	56%	-0.07	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.05
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41	-0.41	-0.19	-0.22	0.00	10	29%	-0.15	6	-0.25	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.7	31.1	17.3	26.1	2.8	42.2	145.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +45.4%

LAC -4.8%

LAC -22.0%

MIL +27.1%

MIL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAC	NBA	MIL	LAC	NBA
this game	16.0	14.9	14.8	105.4	102.1	107.7
season	14.9	15.0		107.4	110.8
opponent	14.8	15.3		106.6	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	14.0	17.7	17.2	15.4	16.0
LAC	17.3	12.3	17.1	13.5	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Khris Middleton	64	65	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-8	17	16.0	16.2	-0.30	13.7	17.6	-3.88
Matthew Dellavedova	61	63	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.45	3	-2	5	15.1	17.8	-2.71	15.0	14.7	0.29
Jason Terry	47	49	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	-12	25	14.7	17.4	-2.74	15.2	14.6	0.64
Mirza Teletovic	42	43	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.06	10	-9	19	15.3	16.7	-1.35	13.3	16.3	-3.05
Greg Monroe	51	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.26	2	-1	3	16.1	16.0	0.12	15.0	14.9	0.10
John Henson	27	29	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	0	1	15.4	16.3	-0.90	13.8	15.4	-1.65
Giannis Antetokounmpo	50	51	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.41	-9	10	-19	16.7	15.3	1.35	16.3	13.3	3.05
Thon Maker	14	13	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.09	-2	3	-5	17.1	15.9	1.21	17.3	14.6	2.75
Tony Snell	56	57	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.41	-13	14	-27	17.0	14.5	2.49	15.5	14.1	1.37
Malcolm Brogdon	48	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.21	-9	10	-19	17.5	14.5	3.05	15.5	14.4	1.11

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luc Mbah a Moute	35	35	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.06	2	-3	5	15.9	14.4	1.51	16.7	15.6	1.04
DeAndre Jordan	71	69	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.23	9	-10	19	15.1	14.4	0.72	16.9	13.3	3.59
Wesley Johnson	22	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	0	-1	14.6	15.0	-0.45	15.3	16.3	-0.92
JJ Redick	59	56	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.42	9	-10	19	14.7	15.3	-0.56	17.3	14.1	3.27
Austin Rivers	28	30	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	9	-19	16.7	14.2	2.48	14.0	17.0	-3.03
Raymond Felton	27	27	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.05	-7	6	-13	14.0	15.3	-1.37	14.6	16.6	-2.05
Chris Paul	70	67	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.51	6	-7	13	14.8	15.2	-0.37	16.6	14.5	2.15
Blake Griffin	72	71	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-1	1	15.0	14.6	0.45	16.3	15.3	0.92
Marreese Speights	23	23	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.24	-10	9	-19	14.4	15.1	-0.72	13.3	16.9	-3.59
Jamal Crawford	63	61	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.53	-3	2	-5	14.3	16.1	-1.78	15.5	17.1	-1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.67,0.53,0.4,0.36,0.19,0.34,0.39,0.12,0.05,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 106, WAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.59,0.48,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.01,0.03,0.01,0	92.4%
LAC 94, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.0%
NOH 91, MEM 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.57,0.43,0.37,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.19,0.08,0,0,0	91.8%