NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	110		Excitement	7.9 [292]		MVP	CJ McCollum (POR): +34.1%
San Antonio Spurs	106		Comeback	2.0 [149]		LVP	Danny Green (SAS): -18.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0.34	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.34	0.13	0.20	-0.01	16	65%	0.36	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.06
Damian Lillard	0.27	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27	0.20	0.11	0.03	22	68%	0.33	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.09
Noah Vonleh	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.04	0.02	4	100%	0.14	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Shabazz Napier	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.16	-0.14	-0.06	-0.03	18	39%	0.05	5	-0.21	5	40%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.18	0.18	0.20	-0.02	-0.00	21	69%	0.26	2	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	6	80%	0.16	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	10	65%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.04	-0.02	10	60%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.03	0.00	24	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	0.04	5	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.03
Danny Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	7	21%	-0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	3.3	27.3	16.7	29.2	3.4	41.0	143.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +9.9%

POR +32.6%

POR +8.7%

SAS -0.3%

SAS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	15.4	15.0	14.8	115.8	111.6	107.7
season	14.9	15.4		108.6	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.5		103.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.0	15.8	14.3	16.3	15.4
SAS	14.4	14.8	17.8	13.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	61	60	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.42	7	-3	10	15.6	14.9	0.79	14.5	15.7	-1.24
CJ McCollum	76	76	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.35	3	1	2	15.7	13.8	1.96	15.1	14.4	0.74
Jusuf Nurkic	70	69	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.43	0	4	-4	15.4	15.2	0.27	14.5	16.3	-1.81
Damian Lillard	68	68	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	2	0	15.3	15.6	-0.28	14.4	16.3	-1.82
Shabazz Napier	28	29	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	-4	12	14.5	15.7	-1.27	15.9	14.5	1.40
Noah Vonleh	53	52	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.06	4	0	4	14.8	16.0	-1.15	16.0	13.7	2.26
Meyers Leonard	12	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.04	1	3	-2	15.8	15.3	0.54	14.8	15.0	-0.13
Allen Crabbe	44	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	5	-6	15.2	15.5	-0.37	15.8	14.2	1.64
Maurice Harkless	39	39	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	10	-16	15.0	15.6	-0.65	15.3	14.7	0.55

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	38	39	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-6	8	15.7	14.5	1.21	15.1	15.6	-0.48
Pau Gasol	38	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-4	4	14.9	15.0	-0.15	14.8	15.7	-0.95
Jonathon Simmons	10	11	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	0	-4	17.2	14.7	2.51	14.1	15.5	-1.43
Danny Green	60	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-8	12	15.4	14.1	1.29	15.6	14.9	0.79
Kyle Anderson	20	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.11	-1	-3	2	14.0	15.2	-1.21	18.1	14.6	3.58
Manu Ginobili	41	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-1	-2	13.8	15.8	-2.03	14.7	15.9	-1.15
Bryn Forbes	18	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	0	-4	15.6	14.8	0.74	15.4	15.3	0.07
David Lee	37	36	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	0	-4	16.4	14.1	2.33	15.3	15.4	-0.13
Kawhi Leonard	74	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-4	4	14.7	16.0	-1.28	15.4	15.1	0.36
LaMarcus Aldridge	65	65	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.35	-5	1	-6	14.4	16.1	-1.72	15.2	15.6	-0.40
Patty Mills	74	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	1	-6	14.7	15.7	-0.97	15.4	15.3	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.61,0.67,0.56,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.52,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.11,0.02,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.35,0.17,0.31,0.05,0.03,0.02,0	92.5%
DAL 109, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.37,0.36,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.3%
UTA 100, LAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.79,0.64,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.0%