NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	98		Excitement	7.5 [365]		MVP	Wayne Ellington (MIA): +22.1%
Indiana Pacers	102		Comeback	1.9 [683]		LVP	Tyler Johnson (MIA): -19.1%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22	0.15	0.07	-0.00	13	73%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Reed	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	57%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Dion Waiters	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.02	18	51%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Okaro White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	-0.00	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	45%	0.02	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
James Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	16	42%	0.01	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.10	0.03	21	55%	-0.00	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	9	11%	-0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	19	60%	0.24	2	-0.05	9	100%	0.05
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.06	-0.00	6	64%	0.11	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rakeem Christmas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	54%	0.02	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	47%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.04	0.01	14	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.07
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	11	48%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	43%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.5	33.4	15.6	26.0	2.4	29.2	134.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +13.0%

IND +26.4%

MIA -3.1%

IND +15.6%

MIA -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	IND	NBA	MIA	IND	NBA
this game	17.0	14.1	14.8	105.4	110.9	107.7
season	15.4	14.9		106.7	107.5
opponent	14.8	14.5		108.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.4	13.9	19.8	17.7	17.0
IND	11.9	14.3	13.9	16.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Babbitt	22	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-4	4	17.1	17.0	0.14	14.0	14.1	-0.11
Rodney McGruder	37	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	0	-4	17.0	17.1	-0.05	14.1	14.1	-0.00
Wayne Ellington	53	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.43	10	-14	24	16.3	18.0	-1.65	14.7	13.2	1.53
Okaro White	12	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	1	-6	14.3	17.4	-3.10	14.7	14.0	0.69
Willie Reed	29	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	2	-8	16.9	17.1	-0.25	13.4	14.4	-0.95
James Johnson	59	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.35	1	-5	6	17.5	16.1	1.40	14.0	14.2	-0.22
Hassan Whiteside	64	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-6	8	17.1	16.9	0.25	14.4	13.4	0.95
Tyler Johnson	49	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	4	-12	16.7	17.4	-0.67	13.5	14.8	-1.21
Dion Waiters	68	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-1	-2	17.4	15.9	1.52	14.2	13.9	0.29
Josh Richardson	72	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.31	-7	3	-10	17.4	15.8	1.64	13.9	14.6	-0.72

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	57	58	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.45	16	-12	28	14.1	14.0	0.09	17.3	16.7	0.60
Thaddeus Young	72	74	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.27	10	-6	16	13.9	14.8	-0.91	17.3	15.9	1.36
Paul George	69	71	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	0	4	14.0	14.4	-0.46	17.9	14.2	3.67
Jeff Teague	59	60	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.27	4	0	4	14.0	14.3	-0.29	17.0	17.1	-0.09
Myles Turner	56	57	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	1	2	13.9	14.4	-0.59	17.8	15.8	1.96
Rakeem Christmas	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.13	1	3	-2	14.4	13.9	0.59	15.8	17.8	-1.96
Monta Ellis	37	38	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	6	-8	13.8	14.3	-0.42	16.9	17.1	-0.23
Glenn Robinson III	26	26	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.13	-6	10	-16	14.6	13.9	0.74	15.7	17.5	-1.81
Lavoy Allen	9	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	8	-12	12.9	14.2	-1.33	11.3	17.5	-6.21
Rodney Stuckey	39	38	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.03	-6	10	-16	14.9	13.5	1.45	16.7	17.3	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.55,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.73,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.92,1	92.4%
PHI 108, SAC 115	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.66,0.53,0.37,0.55,0.98,1	91.8%
IND 108, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.88,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.61,0.45,0.77,0.96,1	91.7%