NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	108		Excitement	8.1 [299]		MVP	Jimmy Butler (PHI): +52.5%
Sacramento Kings	115		Comeback	1.7 [539]		LVP	Mike Muscala (PHI): -7.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.52	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.36,0.53,0.62,0.52,0.52	0.23	0.29	-0.01	18	74%	0.55	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Ben Simmons	0.06	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	14	65%	0.13	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.02
Landry Shamet	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.04	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Shake Milton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	7	43%	-0.01	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	24	48%	0.06	4	-0.09	13	85%	0.03
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonah Bolden	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	21%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.43,0.44	0.44	0.22	0.24	0.02	21	74%	0.50	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.12	0.12	0.01	9	83%	0.32	2	-0.08	5	60%	0.02
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.09	-0.01	16	44%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Harry Giles III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	40%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	12	32%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Justin Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	7	40%	0.02	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	14	51%	0.05	4	-0.11	9	89%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	28.4	15.3	25.9	1.8	37.2	136.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +32.1%

SAC +8.9%

SAC +20.3%

PHI -13.3%

SAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAC	NBA	PHI	SAC	NBA
this game	14.0	13.9	14.3	105.9	110.6	109.3
season	14.0	13.3		110.9	109.2
opponent	14.3	14.1		110.5	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.3	14.7	13.8	14.4	14.0
SAC	12.9	13.0	15.6	14.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonah Bolden	27	27	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.02	0	-7	7	14.8	13.8	1.05	12.4	14.5	-2.10
T.J. McConnell	60	58	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-10	13	13.2	15.2	-1.92	13.1	15.0	-1.85
Shake Milton	42	45	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.32	10	-17	27	14.2	13.9	0.30	14.2	13.7	0.45
Furkan Korkmaz	7	7	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-6	5	11.4	14.2	-2.80	12.3	14.0	-1.76
Mike Muscala	38	38	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-3	-1	14.2	14.0	0.19	14.6	13.5	1.12
Corey Brewer	13	12	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	4	-15	17.0	13.6	3.39	10.7	14.3	-3.68
Jimmy Butler	82	85	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.37	5	-12	17	13.8	15.0	-1.26	14.5	11.3	3.25
Joel Embiid	83	86	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-4	1	13.5	16.3	-2.80	14.2	12.8	1.32
Ben Simmons	88	90	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.21	-13	6	-19	14.4	11.6	2.78	14.1	12.6	1.48
Landry Shamet	70	72	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.22	-21	14	-35	14.4	13.3	1.10	14.1	13.5	0.61

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Buddy Hield	76	75	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.26	20	-13	33	14.0	13.7	0.33	14.2	13.7	0.46
Iman Shumpert	62	60	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.21	14	-7	21	14.3	13.3	0.99	14.9	12.8	2.17
De'Aaron Fox	75	75	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-3	13	13.3	15.6	-2.35	14.2	13.7	0.51
Willie Cauley-Stein	70	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	0	7	14.8	12.0	2.81	14.4	13.3	1.15
Nemanja Bjelica	28	28	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.04	10	-3	13	15.2	13.4	1.82	13.4	14.3	-0.94
Marvin Bagley III	73	71	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.34	-8	15	-23	13.5	14.8	-1.26	13.9	14.3	-0.31
Harry Giles III	34	35	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	7	-7	12.0	14.8	-2.81	13.3	14.4	-1.15
Bogdan Bogdanovic	48	48	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.04	0	7	-7	13.1	14.6	-1.52	14.0	14.1	-0.11
Yogi Ferrell	29	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.08	-3	10	-13	15.6	13.3	2.35	13.7	14.2	-0.51
Justin Jackson	25	24	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	0.06	-15	22	-37	13.8	13.9	-0.11	12.6	14.5	-1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.63,0.7,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.58,0.59,0.71,0.66,0.53,0.37,0.55,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 94, HOU 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.65,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.67,0.45,0.55,0.77,0.96,1	93.0%
MIA 98, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.55,0.9,1	91.8%
CHI 87, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.46,0.77,0.98,1	91.6%