NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	105		Excitement	8.7 [177]		MVP	Sean Kilpatrick (BKN): +22.7%
Atlanta Hawks	110		Comeback	2.2 [960]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -26.4%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Kilpatrick	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.23	0.17	0.04	-0.02	14	73%	0.36	2	-0.14	9	89%	0.04
Caris LeVert	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.07	0.01	6	58%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0.00	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Whitehead	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.02	6	50%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Quincy Acy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	13	57%	0.09	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	18	47%	-0.00	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	0.00	21	51%	0.17	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13	0.13	0.05	0.08	-0.00	11	59%	0.20	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.07
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.09	-0.00	7	56%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	21	60%	0.19	4	-0.12	10	100%	0.07
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	7	61%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.26	-0.14	-0.12	0.01	13	25%	-0.21	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	29.5	15.3	32.3	1.8	34.0	138.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -20.9%

ATL +4.7%

ATL +36.9%

ATL +27.0%

ATL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	ATL	NBA	BKN	ATL	NBA
this game	12.5	13.8	14.8	96.3	100.0	107.7
season	13.7	14.4		103.2	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.4		104.6	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	11.5	14.1	12.5	12.1	12.5
ATL	14.6	13.6	13.2	13.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
KJ McDaniels	11	11	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-5	5	13.9	12.3	1.56	14.1	13.8	0.33
Isaiah Whitehead	52	53	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-6	7	13.3	11.8	1.57	14.3	13.3	0.95
Randy Foye	34	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-4	3	11.7	12.9	-1.16	13.5	13.9	-0.39
Spencer Dinwiddie	51	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-4	3	13.4	11.7	1.63	14.3	13.4	0.90
Quincy Acy	50	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-6	7	12.2	12.7	-0.53	14.1	13.6	0.49
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	41	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	1	-7	13.2	12.1	1.15	13.0	14.3	-1.26
Trevor Booker	58	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-4	3	12.7	12.3	0.32	14.5	13.0	1.54
Caris LeVert	56	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.26	-2	-3	1	11.6	13.5	-1.88	13.7	13.9	-0.26
Jeremy Lin	58	59	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-1	-3	11.7	13.4	-1.63	13.4	14.3	-0.90
Brook Lopez	69	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	12.2	13.1	-0.94	13.5	14.3	-0.88
Sean Kilpatrick	65	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.38	-8	3	-11	12.8	12.0	0.77	13.6	14.1	-0.50

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	67	65	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	-2	9	13.7	13.9	-0.23	12.7	12.2	0.43
Paul Millsap	92	88	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	-1	7	13.9	13.2	0.75	12.0	14.7	-2.68
Ersan Ilyasova	58	57	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.32	3	2	1	13.8	13.8	0.04	12.7	12.3	0.38
Thabo Sefolosha	75	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.32	3	2	1	13.4	14.7	-1.31	12.0	13.5	-1.45
Dennis Schroder	85	84	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.22	6	-1	7	13.4	15.3	-1.93	12.2	13.4	-1.11
Jose Calderon	24	24	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.08	2	3	-1	15.7	13.2	2.51	13.1	12.3	0.80
Dwight Howard	67	69	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	5	-5	13.5	14.2	-0.69	13.0	11.7	1.23
Kent Bazemore	53	54	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	4	-3	13.9	13.7	0.15	12.6	12.5	0.10
Taurean Prince	29	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.08	-3	8	-11	14.8	13.4	1.36	13.5	12.1	1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.6,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.77,0.69,0.8,0.73,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 90, CHA 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,1,1	93.3%
PHI 95, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.74,0.62,0.75,0.88,0.79,0.65,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.94,0.97,1	93.0%
WAS 76, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.94,0.98,1,1	93.0%