NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	106		Excitement	10.8 [40]		MVP	Tyler Ulis (PHX): +56.2%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	14.5 [80]		LVP	Jared Dudley (PHX): -17.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.41	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.43,0.41	0.15	0.27	-0.00	25	57%	0.44	1	-0.03	11	91%	0.02
Jae Crowder	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.03,0.19	0.09	0.11	0.01	10	70%	0.33	1	-0.14	3	67%	0.02
Amir Johnson	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.12	-0.01	11	54%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terry Rozier	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.03	-0.01	9	78%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	8	54%	0.05	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.08
Jordan Mickey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	0.05	2	-0.12	12	75%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	5	0%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.56	0.56	0.16	0.41	0.00	12	74%	0.56	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.1,0.4	0.40	0.04	0.33	-0.03	20	58%	0.51	4	-0.10	8	100%	0.06
Alan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.06,0.14	0.14	-0.03	0.17	-0.00	12	41%	0.19	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.15
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.07	0.07	0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.04	-0.00	10	61%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones, Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	8	12%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.00	6	0%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	29.5	14.5	30.3	1.7	41.7	145.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.2%

BOS -7.5%

BOS -8.0%

PHX +27.2%

PHX +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHX	NBA	BOS	PHX	NBA
this game	13.9	14.0	14.8	101.9	106.9	107.7
season	14.7	13.9		110.1	105.4
opponent	14.5	14.9		110.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.3	14.3	14.2	12.9	13.9
PHX	14.0	13.4	14.0	14.8	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	56	56	0.60	-1.10	1.69	0.36	8	-11	19	14.5	13.2	1.31	14.7	13.2	1.44
Gerald Green	32	30	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-7	11	14.9	13.5	1.36	14.2	13.9	0.29
Jordan Mickey	18	19	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.07	5	-8	13	15.7	13.6	2.16	14.8	13.9	0.93
Tyler Zeller	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-3	3	12.6	14.1	-1.53	14.6	14.0	0.68
Kelly Olynyk	48	45	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-4	5	14.5	13.4	1.09	14.1	14.0	0.07
Jonas Jerebko	42	41	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	3	-9	14.2	13.7	0.47	14.3	13.8	0.48
Marcus Smart	62	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	1	-5	13.3	14.9	-1.55	13.4	15.0	-1.58
Jae Crowder	73	72	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.38	-6	3	-9	13.2	15.5	-2.30	13.7	14.9	-1.19
Jaylen Brown	67	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.39	-6	3	-9	13.4	14.9	-1.45	13.6	14.7	-1.06
Terry Rozier	42	42	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.64	-4	1	-5	13.4	14.3	-0.85	14.0	14.1	-0.13
Isaiah Thomas	68	68	-0.77	0.27	-1.05	-0.57	-7	4	-11	14.3	13.2	1.04	14.2	13.6	0.66

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	39	39	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.55	8	-5	13	13.6	14.3	-0.71	13.6	14.2	-0.59
Eric Bledsoe	76	77	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.43	10	-7	17	13.9	14.5	-0.58	13.6	14.9	-1.34
Marquese Chriss	56	56	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.73	0	3	-3	13.5	14.7	-1.17	13.4	14.5	-1.09
Tyler Ulis	72	73	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-6	15	13.7	14.8	-1.04	13.7	14.6	-0.92
Devin Booker	59	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	-5	13	13.6	14.6	-0.99	13.6	14.4	-0.79
Derrick Jones, Jr.	23	24	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	3	-3	15.8	13.5	2.32	16.1	13.3	2.85
Alex Len	26	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.12	-6	9	-15	15.6	13.5	2.08	14.1	13.9	0.24
Alan Williams	63	65	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.14	2	1	1	14.1	13.9	0.26	14.8	12.5	2.23
Leandro Barbosa	28	27	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.04	-8	11	-19	14.6	13.8	0.75	14.4	13.8	0.59
TJ Warren	68	70	-0.57	1.07	-1.63	-0.33	-8	11	-19	14.1	14.0	0.09	13.7	14.4	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.84,0.79,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.61,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 80, DEN 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.58,1	89.6%
BKN 100, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.37,0.38,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.71,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.66,0.53,0.61,0.91,0.72,1	89.5%
CHA 114, CHI 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.73,0.79,0.64,0.69,0.73,1	89.2%