NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	114		Excitement	9.0 [146]		MVP	Sean Kilpatrick (CHI): +39.2%
Chicago Bulls	120		Comeback	1.8 [359]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -16.9%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.19	0.13	0.01	8	100%	0.31	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Monk	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.17,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16	0.07	0.08	-0.02	15	70%	0.31	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.07	-0.00	11	66%	0.24	3	-0.10	13	69%	0.02
Willy Hernangomez	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.00	7	69%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Julyan Stone	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.02	9	53%	0.01	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	9	44%	-0.04	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Kemba Walker	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.09,-0.17,-0.17	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	11	39%	0.01	2	-0.18	1	0%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.36,0.3,0.2,0.39	0.39	0.08	0.30	-0.01	17	54%	0.39	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.21	0.03	0.02	14	77%	0.22	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.10	-0.02	16	58%	0.23	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	-0.00	13	62%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cristiano Felicio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.01	5	80%	0.15	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
David Nwaba	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0	0.00	0.05	-0.03	0.02	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Cameron Payne	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	13	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Arcidiacono	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	2	17%	-0.07	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	26.6	15.7	24.2	2.3	28.6	124.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +13.9%

CHA -9.3%

CHA -8.8%

CHI +50.9%

CHI +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	CHI	NBA	CHA	CHI	NBA
this game	14.1	14.0	14.7	111.8	116.5	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		108.7	103.2
opponent	15.0	14.5		110.2	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.7	13.2	15.8	12.8	14.1
CHI	14.1	13.4	14.2	14.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	43	43	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.10	10	-16	26	13.6	14.5	-0.93	14.2	13.8	0.36
Julyan Stone	35	34	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.01	3	-9	12	12.8	14.8	-1.98	13.6	14.2	-0.53
Willy Hernangomez	36	34	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-8	10	12.9	14.7	-1.83	13.9	14.1	-0.18
Frank Kaminsky	46	47	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-8	10	13.6	14.5	-0.97	13.0	14.8	-1.76
Malik Monk	52	54	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-7	8	13.3	14.9	-1.53	13.9	14.1	-0.19
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	54	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	2	-10	15.1	13.0	2.03	14.0	14.0	0.08
Marvin Williams	56	56	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	2	-10	14.5	13.6	0.97	14.8	13.0	1.76
Dwight Howard	66	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.31	-8	2	-10	14.7	12.9	1.83	14.1	13.9	0.18
Nicolas Batum	58	58	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.20	-13	7	-20	14.5	13.5	1.01	13.9	14.1	-0.16
Kemba Walker	64	65	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.26	-11	5	-16	14.6	13.3	1.29	14.2	13.7	0.42

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Nwaba	66	64	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.29	10	-4	14	14.2	13.7	0.42	15.1	12.4	2.67
Cristiano Felicio	54	54	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.27	10	-4	14	13.8	14.2	-0.39	14.3	13.9	0.42
Cameron Payne	51	51	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	-4	14	14.0	14.0	-0.00	14.8	13.4	1.45
Jerian Grant	53	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	3	0	13.5	14.6	-1.09	14.3	13.9	0.39
Sean Kilpatrick	63	61	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.35	-6	12	-18	14.1	13.9	0.20	13.4	15.1	-1.63
Ryan Arcidiacono	52	51	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.28	-4	10	-14	14.0	14.0	0.00	13.4	14.8	-1.45
Lauri Markkanen	52	52	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	2	2	14.5	13.5	1.05	14.1	14.1	-0.00
Justin Holiday	59	61	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	3	0	14.4	13.5	0.95	13.4	15.1	-1.63
Noah Vonleh	16	17	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	2	2	11.6	14.4	-2.81	14.5	14.0	0.45
Bobby Portis	49	48	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	10	-14	14.2	13.8	0.39	13.9	14.3	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.77,0.65,0.69,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.85,0.73,0.79,0.64,0.69,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 80, DEN 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.58,1	92.7%
DET 84, MIA 87	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.87,0.81,0.69,0.84,0.73,0.86,0.79,0.67,0.74,1	91.7%
SAC 89, DEN 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.98,1	91.5%