NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	8.7 [179]		MVP	Glenn Robinson III (IND): +87.9%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	34.7 [35]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -16.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson III	0.88	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.88	0.11	0.77	0.00	5	92%	0.88	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Paul George	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08	0.19	-0.09	0.01	19	79%	0.23	5	-0.14	5	80%	0.01
CJ Miles	0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	12	54%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	10	64%	0.11	2	-0.05	5	100%	0.05
Myles Turner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.06	-0.00	7	33%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Rakeem Christmas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Kevin Seraphin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Rodney Stuckey	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	5	25%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.06
Monta Ellis	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	-0.00	-0.01	6	21%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26	0.26	0.15	0.13	0.01	16	71%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.07	-0.00	16	53%	0.16	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	12	46%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.10	-0.01	16	52%	0.02	4	-0.12	12	58%	-0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	3	53%	0.01	4	-0.12	11	45%	-0.08
Kent Bazemore	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.4	30.5	15.5	30.9	1.5	30.1	134.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +67.4%

ATL -1.6%

ATL -25.8%

IND +6.7%

IND +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.2	14.8	103.2	102.1	107.7
season	14.9	14.4		107.5	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		104.6	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.8	12.5	16.8	17.2	15.4
ATL	13.6	15.8	13.8	17.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson III	44	44	0.96	-0.46	1.42	0.73	8	-7	15	15.8	15.1	0.76	15.0	15.4	-0.33
CJ Miles	63	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.41	3	-2	5	14.8	16.6	-1.79	16.4	12.9	3.46
Myles Turner	57	58	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.49	-1	2	-3	15.6	15.1	0.46	15.3	15.1	0.23
Paul George	74	75	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.48	-1	2	-3	15.5	15.1	0.40	15.5	14.0	1.53
Jeff Teague	59	61	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.49	-7	8	-15	16.1	14.3	1.84	15.8	14.1	1.70
Al Jefferson	28	28	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	-10	21	15.3	15.5	-0.13	12.9	16.2	-3.32
Rodney Stuckey	35	33	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.07	8	-7	15	14.3	16.1	-1.84	14.1	15.8	-1.70
Monta Ellis	46	45	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	-3	7	15.6	15.3	0.29	14.3	16.1	-1.84
Rakeem Christmas	8	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	5	-9	12.1	15.7	-3.60	17.7	15.0	2.69
Kevin Seraphin	10	11	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	8	-15	18.4	15.1	3.34	12.2	15.6	-3.44
Thaddeus Young	46	45	-0.52	1.02	-1.54	-0.26	-9	10	-19	15.3	15.5	-0.22	15.9	14.6	1.36

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	40	41	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.03	8	-9	17	14.5	15.7	-1.17	15.9	15.1	0.78
Malcolm Delaney	23	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	0	-1	13.9	15.7	-1.79	14.9	15.6	-0.67
Tim Hardaway Jr.	64	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.44	7	-8	15	15.5	14.6	0.92	16.7	12.5	4.24
Paul Millsap	73	71	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.51	9	-10	19	15.3	14.9	0.47	15.1	16.3	-1.24
Taurean Prince	19	19	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	9	-19	15.1	15.3	-0.15	14.1	15.8	-1.71
Kent Bazemore	43	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.16	-17	16	-33	15.2	15.3	-0.07	13.5	16.8	-3.29
Thabo Sefolosha	69	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.55	5	-6	11	15.4	14.8	0.63	15.6	14.8	0.84
Dennis Schroder	70	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.53	2	-3	5	15.3	15.1	0.13	15.6	14.9	0.67
Dwight Howard	69	70	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.50	-8	7	-15	15.5	14.4	1.18	15.5	15.2	0.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.68,0.72,0.91,0.95,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 98, TOR 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.83,0.79,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.49,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.31,0.41,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.17,0.1,0.26,0.41,0.47,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.73,0	87.4%
IND 76, NOH 75	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.61,0.71,0.68,0.58,0	87.3%
LAC 120, ORL 117	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.72,0.62,0.48,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.29,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.68,0.92,0.86,0.71,0	87.1%