inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 101 Excitement4.8 [862] MVPD.J. Augustin (ORL): +9.3%
Orlando Magic 90 Comeback1.1 [656] LVPNikola Vucevic (ORL): -9.7%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kristaps Porzingis0.080,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.011553%0.101-0.02875%-0.00
Justin Holiday0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.011164%0.0700.0000%0.00
Lance Thomas0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.010.03579%0.0700.00475%0.00
Derrick Rose0.030,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.02-0.00-0.011458%0.113-0.08560%-0.01
Chasson Randle0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marshall Plumlee0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.020100%0.0000.002100%0.00
Mindaugas Kuzminskas-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.000.010.01750%0.011-0.024100%0.01
Courtney Lee-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00550%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Kyle O'Quinn-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01633%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Ron Baker-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.0320%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.001642%-0.022-0.04887%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.12-0.000.02871%0.0900.005100%0.02
Evan Fournier0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.07-0.010.021559%0.093-0.06757%-0.04
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.020.021050%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.01650%-0.001-0.01450%-0.01
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00250%0.002-0.0500%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.011030%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.03-0.010.041238%-0.0800.002100%0.01
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.020.01425%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.02-0.001641%-0.033-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.22.330.615.426.42.432.8135.1
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +30.1%
NYK +4.5%
NYK +11.3%
NYK +4.9%
ORL -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKORLNBANYKORLNBA
this game16.214.614.8108.695.7107.7
season15.014.6106.6103.0
opponent14.914.7109.8110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK14.615.915.519.416.2
ORL15.414.114.514.214.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony73750.56-0.060.610.0318-72516.316.10.1214.614.6-0.02
Derrick Rose63650.480.020.45-0.0217-62316.415.80.6114.315.2-0.88
Courtney Lee69700.320.180.140.1274316.415.80.5614.215.7-1.48
Lance Thomas62640.280.220.060.1065116.016.8-0.8913.816.2-2.40
Kristaps Porzingis64660.260.240.030.0965115.817.3-1.5414.913.81.06
Kyle O'Quinn35330.230.27-0.030.1247-318.415.03.4115.813.91.84
Justin Holiday31300.170.33-0.170.0838-516.516.10.4015.514.11.37
Mindaugas Kuzminskas31310.140.36-0.210.12110-915.016.9-1.9214.714.50.22
Ron Baker30290.060.44-0.380.18-415-1917.315.81.5016.813.63.22
Chasson Randle440.000.50-0.500.06-213-1510.716.5-5.745.715.0-9.21
Marshall Plumlee330.000.50-0.500.03-112-137.316.5-9.215.014.9-9.88

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bismack Biyombo3939-0.01-0.490.48-0.248-192715.513.91.5316.715.90.81
Mario Hezonja3738-0.09-0.410.31-0.121-121316.213.52.6816.915.81.09
Jeff Green4744-0.11-0.390.28-0.172-131515.313.81.4716.715.90.78
D.J. Augustin5150-0.23-0.270.04-0.14-3-8515.113.91.2116.815.61.15
Elfrid Payton4343-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.04-8-3-513.915.1-1.2115.616.8-1.15
Aaron Gordon4749-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-132-1513.815.3-1.4715.916.7-0.78
Terrence Ross7573-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.10-121-1314.315.7-1.4715.817.8-2.04
Evan Fournier7675-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.13-110-1114.116.7-2.6016.315.80.51
Nikola Vucevic5554-0.49-0.01-0.480.07-198-2713.915.5-1.5315.916.7-0.81


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 115, HOU 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,095.5%
MIN 90, DAL 820.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,095.3%
POR 95, SAS 760.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.1%