NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	115		Excitement	5.0 [818]		MVP	Grant Hill (PHX): +10.1%
Houston Rockets	105		Comeback	1.0 [1055]		LVP	Yao Ming (HOU): -20.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Grant Hill	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.01	-0.00	14	58%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.05	13	72%	0.16	6	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	4	80%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	11	73%	0.09	5	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.06	8	95%	0.13	7	-0.14	6	83%	0.02
Shawn Marion	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	13	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	10	60%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luther Head	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.01	0.04	11	73%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	19	53%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	62%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	125%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	11	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rafer Alston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	8	40%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.04	12	61%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.12	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.04
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.21,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.18	-0.03	0.00	17	30%	-0.15	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.7	29.5	15.7	27.0	1.8	31.0	132.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +76.2%

PHX +10.6%

HOU -12.6%

HOU -22.1%

HOU -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	HOU	NBA	PHX	HOU	NBA
this game	11.5	16.4	15.4	111.7	101.9	105.7
season	13.8	16.2		111.1	104.6
opponent	15.2	15.6		100.3	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.6	11.5	10.2	12.6	11.5
HOU	15.7	19.0	17.8	13.6	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	92	91	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-2	14	11.7	9.8	1.91	16.2	18.5	-2.34
Steve Nash	78	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-6	22	11.2	12.5	-1.31	16.5	16.1	0.43
Boris Diaw	54	53	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-2	14	11.9	11.1	0.84	17.5	15.4	2.09
Leandro Barbosa	90	91	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	0	10	11.3	13.4	-2.13	15.9	20.2	-4.32
Grant Hill	93	95	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.22	3	7	-4	11.7	9.9	1.80	16.3	18.1	-1.83
Amar'e Stoudemire	64	64	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	5	0	10.4	13.4	-2.99	16.5	16.3	0.29
Brian Skinner	32	32	0.00	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	15	-20	13.4	10.7	2.68	14.9	17.1	-2.27
Eric Piatkowski	12	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	13	-16	12.0	11.5	0.54	21.8	15.7	6.11

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Brooks	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-15	20	11.6	16.8	-5.22	9.9	11.7	-1.79
Kirk Snyder	33	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-14	18	15.0	17.1	-2.16	12.0	11.3	0.66
Steve Francis	49	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.23	4	-14	18	16.7	16.2	0.57	11.7	11.3	0.42
Charles Hayes	38	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	-4	-2	15.3	17.1	-1.78	12.1	11.2	0.92
Luther Head	52	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-13	16	16.4	16.5	-0.11	11.9	11.2	0.65
Shane Battier	65	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.09	-4	-6	2	16.4	16.5	-0.06	12.4	9.9	2.46
Bonzi Wells	32	33	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	-4	-2	19.4	15.1	4.35	10.9	11.8	-0.91
Yao Ming	52	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	3	-16	16.7	16.2	0.48	10.9	12.2	-1.27
Rafer Alston	54	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	4	-18	16.2	16.7	-0.57	11.3	11.7	-0.42
Mike James	54	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	4	-18	16.2	16.7	-0.57	11.3	11.7	-0.42
Luis Scola	78	78	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.22	-9	-1	-8	16.9	14.8	2.11	11.1	12.9	-1.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.5%
SAS 109, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
UTA 94, LAC 79	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%