NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Excitement	4.6 [915]		MVP	Nikola Pekovic (MIN): +11.5%
Dallas Mavericks	82		Comeback	1.1 [336]		LVP	Rodrigue Beaubois (DAL): -10.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Pekovic	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.02	13	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	9	70%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.06	0.01	9	58%	0.07	3	-0.02	8	87%	0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	12	62%	0.10	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	2	67%	0.03	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Alexey Shved	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.02	11	82%	0.01
Will Conroy	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Stiemsma	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Lee	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	58%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Bernard James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.08	10	66%	0.06	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.04
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.03	-0.03	15	35%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	18	47%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.4	29.5	16.4	26.6	2.5	38.4	138.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +43.2%

MIN +7.2%

MIN +1.1%

DAL -3.3%

MIN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	DAL	NBA	MIN	DAL	NBA
this game	16.5	15.0	15.4	100.0	88.2	104.1
season	15.6	14.5		101.3	104.3
opponent	15.6	14.9		105.0	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.0	15.8	18.8	15.7	16.5
DAL	14.7	14.8	16.4	14.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrei Kirilenko	83	87	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.25	12	-4	16	16.3	18.3	-1.97	15.0	16.2	-1.21
Nikola Pekovic	52	55	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.09	21	-13	34	16.3	16.7	-0.38	15.1	15.0	0.05
Luke Ridnour	78	79	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.11	13	-5	18	16.4	16.7	-0.23	14.6	17.4	-2.82
Dante Cunningham	62	62	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	6	-4	17.0	15.3	1.66	14.6	15.8	-1.16
Malcolm Lee	44	45	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	3	2	16.3	16.6	-0.29	15.7	14.4	1.32
Lou Amundson	28	30	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.15	3	5	-2	15.5	16.9	-1.35	15.2	14.9	0.30
Alexey Shved	62	63	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.26	-1	9	-10	16.4	16.6	-0.26	14.7	15.6	-0.89
Derrick Williams	23	26	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	6	-4	15.6	16.8	-1.21	15.8	14.7	1.08
Will Conroy	6	7	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	12	-16	17.0	16.4	0.57	15.6	15.0	0.58
Greg Stiemsma	12	11	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.16	-13	21	-34	20.3	15.9	4.46	16.9	14.8	2.13

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodrigue Beaubois	41	42	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.19	13	-21	34	13.7	16.1	-2.33	15.7	17.1	-1.37
Bernard James	17	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-10	12	16.6	14.7	1.98	16.2	16.5	-0.39
Dahntay Jones	41	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.31	9	-17	26	14.3	15.6	-1.24	17.0	16.1	0.90
Troy Murphy	47	46	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.22	3	-11	14	15.0	15.1	-0.15	17.1	15.8	1.36
Brandan Wright	20	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	0	-8	17.0	14.5	2.51	15.4	16.7	-1.30
Jae Crowder	26	24	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.02	-9	1	-10	16.1	14.6	1.50	16.0	16.6	-0.64
Elton Brand	36	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.05	-11	3	-14	15.3	14.8	0.49	15.0	17.3	-2.32
Chris Kaman	50	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-3	-2	14.8	15.3	-0.42	17.7	15.0	2.78
Vince Carter	57	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-2	-4	14.2	16.4	-2.26	16.1	17.1	-1.05
O.J. Mayo	66	63	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.12	-14	6	-20	15.3	14.4	0.83	16.6	16.2	0.40
Darren Collison	64	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	6	-20	15.4	14.2	1.15	16.7	15.9	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.38,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.3%
DET 87, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.01,0,0,0	95.2%
LAL 108, PHX 87	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.18,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%