NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	105		Excitement	8.5 [199]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +27.9%
Dallas Mavericks	112		Comeback	68.9 [20]		LVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): -14.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gobert	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.03	0.12	-0.01	9	62%	0.29	5	-0.19	6	83%	0.02
Joe Ingles	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	-0.00	-0.03	12	67%	0.12	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	11	52%	0.13	2	-0.13	1	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.1,0.17,0.07,0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.16	-0.10	0.07	27	59%	0.04	1	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
Shelvin Mack	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	8	50%	0.06	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	2	100%	0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.05	-0.09	0.01	9	29%	-0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.02	0.27	0.01	17	51%	0.31	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.15,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.04	0.04	20	66%	0.20	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.01
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.00	0.16	-0.01	12	59%	0.26	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	11	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.05	-0.09	0.05	10	68%	0.08	2	-0.16	2	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	28.0	15.4	25.9	2.0	43.7	1.8	14.2	157.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +30.4%

UTA -0.2%

UTA -18.5%

DAL +35.0%

DAL +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	DAL	NBA	UTA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	14.8	104.0	109.8	107.7
season	16.1	16.2		108.0	104.4
opponent	14.7	15.0		107.2	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	16.8	16.1	14.7	16.1	18.0	16.1
DAL	14.5	18.1	14.7	14.5	13.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	70	68	0.81	-1.31	2.11	0.22	20	-27	47	15.8	16.9	-1.18	15.9	13.8	2.09
Dante Exum	36	37	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-10	13	16.1	16.1	-0.01	15.6	15.0	0.68
Trey Lyles	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	-5	3	16.7	16.0	0.66	13.3	15.5	-2.19
Shelvin Mack	45	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-3	-1	16.5	15.8	0.71	15.8	14.8	1.05
Joe Ingles	79	79	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.45	7	-14	21	15.4	18.7	-3.33	15.6	14.0	1.51
Alec Burks	43	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.30	-21	14	-35	16.9	15.5	1.41	14.2	16.0	-1.78
Gordon Hayward	83	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.38	0	-7	7	15.8	17.7	-1.88	15.2	15.2	0.07
Joe Johnson	47	50	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.41	-5	-2	-3	15.7	16.5	-0.74	15.3	15.1	0.17
Boris Diaw	26	26	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.02	-19	12	-31	18.9	15.1	3.78	14.3	15.5	-1.17
Derrick Favors	63	66	-1.09	0.59	-1.67	-0.68	-14	7	-21	16.1	16.2	-0.15	14.8	16.1	-1.30

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Harris	54	55	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.46	9	-2	11	14.2	16.3	-2.11	16.9	15.2	1.70
Dirk Nowitzki	71	74	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.41	10	-3	13	15.8	13.8	2.07	15.4	18.0	-2.57
Seth Curry	82	82	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.48	-4	11	-15	15.7	13.4	2.26	15.7	17.8	-2.12
Dorian Finney-Smith	25	25	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.16	17	-10	27	15.6	15.1	0.51	18.2	15.4	2.82
Harrison Barnes	82	84	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	9	-11	15.1	15.8	-0.79	15.9	17.2	-1.27
Wesley Matthews	83	81	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.45	-6	13	-19	15.0	16.3	-1.35	15.9	17.0	-1.10
Justin Anderson	18	19	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.26	16	-9	25	14.9	15.3	-0.33	17.8	15.7	2.06
Salah Mejri	28	26	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.11	2	5	-3	15.0	15.3	-0.30	16.5	16.0	0.57
Dwight Powell	15	10	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	-0.05	-1	8	-9	13.3	15.6	-2.29	19.8	15.7	4.09
Yogi Ferrell	52	49	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.13	-6	13	-19	15.9	14.5	1.44	15.0	17.2	-2.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.24,0.21,0.3,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.4,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.15,0.28,0.54,0.61,0.81,0.9,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 119, LAL 130	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.35,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.08,0.06,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.89,0.97,1,1	91.6%
CHA 108, DET 114	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.28,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.15,0.33,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.85,0.91,0.98,1	90.9%
ATL 104, PHI 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.24,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.34,0.18,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.31,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.53,0.84,0.85,0.73,1	89.9%