NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	112		Excitement	9.7 [86]		MVP	Dario Saric (PHI): +55.6%
Orlando Magic	111		Comeback	34.0 [30]		LVP	Evan Fournier (ORL): -35.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0.56	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.31,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.56	0.16	0.38	-0.01	15	67%	0.56	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
TJ McConnell	0.34	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.34	-0.02	0.34	-0.02	10	40%	0.34	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	6	71%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	4	60%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Sergio Rodriguez	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	86%	0.14	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	16	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Nik Stauskas	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.08	-0.01	8	68%	0.06	5	-0.14	3	100%	0.02
Jahlil Okafor	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Covington	-0.20	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.24,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	12	29%	-0.17	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.18	0.00	13	72%	0.36	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.04
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.14	0.00	5	75%	0.21	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	3	90%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.07	-0.02	11	62%	0.17	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.04	-0.03	14	53%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	6	61%	0.10	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Mario Hezonja	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.35	-0.35	-0.05	-0.29	0.01	21	51%	0.05	6	-0.41	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	31.4	15.5	26.3	2.4	47.5	148.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -25.9%

PHI +13.5%

PHI +19.8%

PHI +40.9%

PHI +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	13.7	13.3	14.8	104.7	104.7	107.7
season	14.5	14.6		101.9	103.0
opponent	14.9	14.4		109.8	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.6	13.1	14.1	13.1	13.7
ORL	14.2	12.6	11.6	15.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	64	63	1.24	-0.74	1.98	0.48	26	-25	51	12.3	15.8	-3.52	13.8	12.6	1.15
Dario Saric	63	61	1.24	-0.74	1.98	0.50	25	-24	49	12.6	15.4	-2.81	13.7	12.7	1.00
Sergio Rodriguez	40	40	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	-12	25	12.4	14.5	-2.08	14.4	12.7	1.75
Ersan Ilyasova	60	58	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.66	-13	14	-27	14.1	13.3	0.84	13.4	13.2	0.19
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	16	17	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	-4	9	14.1	13.7	0.47	12.8	13.4	-0.58
TJ McConnell	67	66	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.51	-12	13	-25	14.5	12.4	2.08	12.7	14.4	-1.75
Robert Covington	80	80	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.48	-13	14	-27	13.8	13.4	0.43	13.4	13.1	0.31
Nerlens Noel	48	48	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.22	8	-7	15	12.9	14.4	-1.44	14.1	12.6	1.53
Jahlil Okafor	51	51	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.02	-14	15	-29	15.0	12.6	2.39	12.3	14.3	-1.96
Gerald Henderson	46	46	-0.60	1.10	-1.70	-0.01	-20	21	-41	15.9	12.1	3.83	12.3	14.1	-1.78

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	34	34	0.14	-0.64	0.77	0.14	0	-1	1	15.2	12.4	2.83	14.3	13.5	0.83
Jeff Green	39	39	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.24	-8	7	-15	14.2	12.8	1.45	13.4	13.9	-0.46
D.J. Augustin	50	50	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	3	-7	15.3	11.5	3.84	14.0	13.5	0.51
Mario Hezonja	43	42	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-1	1	11.4	14.6	-3.15	14.0	13.5	0.52
Evan Fournier	97	97	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.55	8	-9	17	13.0	16.3	-3.30	13.8	13.2	0.58
Elfrid Payton	55	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-1	1	14.0	12.5	1.47	13.4	14.0	-0.59
CJ Watson	64	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.62	2	-3	5	12.4	14.7	-2.36	13.6	14.0	-0.44
Nikola Vucevic	72	73	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.61	-1	0	-1	12.4	15.2	-2.83	13.5	14.3	-0.83
Serge Ibaka	76	78	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.64	-2	1	-3	13.2	13.6	-0.40	13.8	13.5	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.39,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.39,0.32,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.44,0.46,0.62,0.51,0.71,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.6,0.81,0.93,0.94,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, ATL 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.33,0.29,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.85,0.72,0	91.2%
ORL 81, IND 77	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.78,0.42,0	89.5%
CHI 88, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.46,0.47,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.96,0	89.1%