NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	107		Excitement	5.6 [710]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (CHA): +15.9%
Charlotte Hornets	111		Comeback	1.1 [1227]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -10.6%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Justin Hamilton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Harris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	60%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.04	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.09	-0.03	0.01	15	67%	0.12	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Randy Foye	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	73%	0.08	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sean Kilpatrick	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Whitehead	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	11	46%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Booker	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	11	45%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	0.01	0.06	17	51%	0.01	4	-0.09	5	60%	-0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.16	0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	9	63%	0.16	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.02	11	64%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	11	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.06	17	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	18	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	20	35%	-0.08	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	26.5	15.4	26.5	0.8	42.0	136.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -4.4%

CHA +10.3%

CHA +19.3%

CHA +25.6%

BKN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	CHA	NBA	BKN	CHA	NBA
this game	13.1	14.0	14.8	101.9	103.7	107.7
season	13.7	15.1		103.2	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.4		107.9	109.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.9	13.4	12.1	11.4	13.1
CHA	14.1	13.8	14.0	14.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Hamilton	49	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.41	12	-16	28	12.8	13.4	-0.64	13.4	14.6	-1.10
Sean Kilpatrick	38	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.25	5	-9	14	14.1	12.5	1.59	14.1	14.0	0.05
Randy Foye	44	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	3	-10	14.0	12.5	1.49	14.7	13.6	1.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	49	51	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	5	-14	12.9	13.3	-0.33	14.6	13.5	1.07
Trevor Booker	47	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.08	-6	2	-8	14.4	12.0	2.41	14.7	13.5	1.18
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	48	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	7	-18	13.2	13.0	0.21	14.1	14.0	0.07
Isaiah Whitehead	56	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.37	2	-6	8	13.3	12.9	0.33	13.3	14.9	-1.56
Bojan Bogdanovic	72	71	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-3	2	12.2	15.2	-3.06	13.6	14.9	-1.23
Joe Harris	56	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.30	-2	-2	0	13.0	13.3	-0.28	14.3	13.7	0.58
Brook Lopez	66	67	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	0	-4	12.3	14.4	-2.10	13.8	14.5	-0.68

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marco Belinelli	58	56	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.20	9	-5	14	13.9	14.2	-0.21	12.8	13.4	-0.59
Kemba Walker	80	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	2	0	14.1	13.7	0.41	12.6	14.6	-1.99
Nicolas Batum	86	85	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	4	-4	14.2	13.4	0.77	12.7	14.8	-2.08
Frank Kaminsky	76	75	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	4	-4	13.9	14.5	-0.66	12.4	14.9	-2.50
Marvin Williams	75	75	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.31	-1	5	-6	13.6	15.2	-1.63	12.9	13.8	-0.91
Jeremy Lamb	40	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	1	2	14.4	13.8	0.64	14.8	12.2	2.58
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	62	61	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	3	-2	14.3	13.8	0.50	13.2	13.0	0.24
Miles Plumlee	31	30	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	0	4	14.5	13.9	0.66	14.9	12.4	2.50
Brian Roberts	27	28	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	2	0	13.7	14.1	-0.41	14.6	12.6	1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.77,0.82,0.91,0.89,0.84,0.83,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.92,0.77,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.92,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 110, SAC 116	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.74,0.71,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.8,0.9,0.96,1,1	94.8%
CHI 92, ATL 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.86,0.76,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.96,0.99,1	94.8%
SAS 87, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1	94.8%