NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	112		Excitement	4.8 [856]		MVP	Dwyane Wade (CHI): +44.1%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	1.3 [687]		LVP	Ben McLemore (SAC): -5.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.44	0.19	0.28	0.03	18	67%	0.44	0	0.00	10	70%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.24	0.16	0.08	-0.01	12	75%	0.24	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jerian Grant	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.13	0.00	0.06	5	87%	0.08	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	61%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	11	41%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Bobby Portis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Paul Zipser	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.14	0.14	-0.01	0.15	0.00	16	47%	0.16	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.13
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.06	0.04	13	73%	0.19	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.00	0.02	5	100%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	13	54%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.05	0.05	0.11	-0.06	0.00	10	86%	0.20	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Willie Cauley-Stein	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	80%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Malachi Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	54%	0.03	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	26.9	14.8	25.9	0.1	37.8	132.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +23.1%

CHI +1.4%

SAC -1.1%

CHI +23.6%

CHI +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAC	NBA	CHI	SAC	NBA
this game	15.8	15.2	14.8	121.7	113.8	107.7
season	15.1	15.4		105.9	106.0
opponent	14.6	14.8		110.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.8	15.4	17.4	16.7	15.8
SAC	17.5	15.2	14.7	13.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robin Lopez	60	59	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.19	27	-22	49	15.8	15.8	-0.04	16.2	13.3	2.89
Michael Carter-Williams	61	62	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.04	21	-16	37	15.2	17.1	-1.93	15.8	14.0	1.81
Dwyane Wade	59	60	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	-10	25	15.0	17.2	-2.18	16.0	13.6	2.37
Jerian Grant	63	65	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.09	17	-12	29	16.2	14.9	1.29	15.8	13.7	2.13
Paul Zipser	47	49	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.65	-14	19	-33	16.4	15.2	1.16	13.0	17.5	-4.47
Nikola Mirotic	50	50	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.62	-20	25	-45	16.7	14.8	1.89	13.9	16.6	-2.78
Bobby Portis	13	13	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.07	-2	7	-9	13.4	16.2	-2.83	13.5	15.4	-1.88
Taj Gibson	51	55	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.22	7	-2	9	16.1	15.5	0.63	16.1	13.9	2.16
Doug McDermott	18	18	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	10	-15	14.6	16.1	-1.57	15.1	15.2	-0.13
Rajon Rondo	38	39	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.47	-21	26	-47	16.6	15.2	1.39	13.8	16.1	-2.29

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malachi Richardson	17	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-7	9	14.6	15.3	-0.70	14.0	16.2	-2.20
Anthony Tolliver	60	58	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.68	22	-27	49	14.1	17.1	-3.02	16.2	15.2	0.97
Willie Cauley-Stein	16	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-4	3	13.1	15.6	-2.45	14.2	16.1	-1.93
Matt Barnes	65	63	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.65	18	-23	41	14.0	17.9	-3.91	16.3	14.8	1.44
Ty Lawson	68	66	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.71	19	-24	43	14.0	18.1	-4.09	16.4	14.3	2.10
Arron Afflalo	33	32	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.24	-20	15	-35	17.3	14.0	3.35	14.6	16.4	-1.83
Ben McLemore	30	31	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.33	-24	19	-43	18.3	13.7	4.56	14.2	16.6	-2.45
Kosta Koufos	40	40	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.26	-22	17	-39	17.0	13.8	3.25	14.9	16.5	-1.66
Darren Collison	68	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	5	-15	15.3	14.9	0.38	16.5	13.7	2.79
DeMarcus Cousins	73	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	4	-13	15.4	14.4	1.00	16.3	13.8	2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.27,0.31,0.11,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 110, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.28,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.15,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.02,0.04,0	94.9%
MIL 102, NYK 97	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.25,0.21,0.05,0.01,0	94.0%
CLE 110, DEN 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.01,0.01,0,0	93.8%