inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 119 Excitement3.8 [1040] MVPMarc Gasol (MEM): +19.8%
Denver Nuggets 99 Comeback1.2 [899] LVPJamal Murray (DEN): -7.4%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marc Gasol0.200,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.180.030.021573%0.2000.003100%0.01
Mike Conley0.120,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.04-0.021460%0.141-0.022100%0.05
Vince Carter0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.130.000.01687%0.1200.00475%-0.00
James Ennis III0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.110.000.06687%0.051-0.003100%0.00
JaMychal Green0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.01944%0.0200.0000%0.00
Andrew Harrison0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01650%0.0100.00450%-0.01
Toney Douglas0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.02250%0.0010.0000%0.00
Deyonta Davis0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0000.0020%0.00
Brandan Wright0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Troy Daniels-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.043100%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Chandler Parsons-0.000,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.01737%-0.0000.002100%0.01
Zach Randolph-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.010.001258%0.034-0.0500%0.00
Tony Allen-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.01-0.02825%-0.0200.0000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.100.030.004120%0.172-0.042100%0.01
Darrell Arthur0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.100.000.02970%0.0900.002100%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.03685%0.093-0.071100%0.00
Juan Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.050.000.04573%0.011-0.001100%0.00
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.060.000.062117%0.0010.002100%0.00
Mike Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.0410%-0.0010.0000%0.00
Johnny O'Bryant III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.040.00-0.04420%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.001244%-0.002-0.04875%0.01
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.011047%-0.032-0.011060%-0.01
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.010.01433%-0.041-0.02450%-0.02
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.01631%-0.033-0.0510%-0.02
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.100.01-0.021626%-0.051-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.32.528.515.427.62.429.4132.0
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +39.1%
DEN -2.2%
DEN -3.9%
MEM +18.7%
DEN -1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMDENNBAMEMDENNBA
this game16.313.414.8122.7102.1107.7
season16.114.4106.4111.6
opponent14.514.9111.2106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM16.615.217.016.316.3
DEN14.714.813.011.413.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew Harrison42430.400.100.31-0.041551016.516.10.4312.614.1-1.53
Chandler Parsons43400.330.170.170.01119217.115.61.5014.412.81.65
JaMychal Green50530.320.180.14-0.211821616.615.90.7914.612.02.66
Vince Carter55550.320.180.13-0.151641214.918.0-3.1613.713.00.72
James Ennis III40420.290.210.08-0.001010014.817.2-2.4013.713.20.50
Marc Gasol47460.280.220.060.04812-417.415.12.3114.013.01.00
Tony Allen64610.240.26-0.03-0.061010016.016.8-0.8513.413.5-0.11
Zach Randolph46450.230.27-0.05-0.16137614.717.6-2.8913.613.30.31
Mike Conley55540.100.40-0.31-0.05515-1016.116.5-0.4314.112.61.53
Troy Daniels13130.000.50-0.500.00020-2018.116.02.1010.513.9-3.43
Toney Douglas10110.000.50-0.500.06-222-2419.115.93.179.713.9-4.18
Deyonta Davis10110.000.50-0.500.06-222-2419.115.93.179.713.9-4.18
Brandan Wright10110.000.50-0.500.06-222-2419.115.93.179.713.9-4.18

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jameer Nelson780.00-0.500.51-0.031-212214.713.31.3816.716.20.54
Malik Beasley1313-0.00-0.500.50-0.000-202010.513.9-3.4318.116.02.10
Mike Miller1817-0.00-0.500.49-0.000-202010.814.0-3.2617.715.91.76
Johnny O'Bryant III1515-0.01-0.490.490.11-4-161211.413.8-2.4017.716.01.75
Juan Hernangomez3333-0.05-0.450.390.09-5-151011.514.4-2.9515.516.6-1.13
Darrell Arthur3132-0.21-0.290.070.02-8-12413.013.6-0.6415.116.8-1.78
Jusuf Nurkic3736-0.22-0.280.060.04-9-11214.412.81.5317.515.51.93
Kenneth Faried5655-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.02-8-12413.912.71.2115.916.7-0.81
Jamal Murray6764-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-11-9-213.413.6-0.2416.416.00.44
Gary Harris4850-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.08-8-12414.112.81.3317.015.51.49
Danilo Gallinari5758-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.05-10-10014.112.51.6317.015.21.76
Emmanuel Mudiay5252-0.40-0.10-0.290.16-19-1-1813.713.10.6015.317.3-2.01
Wilson Chandler5152-0.44-0.06-0.380.12-19-1-1814.312.51.7314.817.9-3.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 113, PHX 990.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
MIL 107, CLE 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
IND 104, TOR 830.5,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%