NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	105		Excitement	7.1 [440]		MVP	David Lee (SAS): +14.9%
San Antonio Spurs	101		Comeback	5.7 [34]		LVP	Patty Mills (SAS): -9.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	10	71%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.03
Seth Curry	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09	0.08	0.05	0.03	20	60%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	1	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	45%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Harrison Barnes	0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.00	20	45%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Yogi Ferrell	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	9	45%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	11	60%	0.16	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Justin Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Brussino	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	9	78%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	12	64%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.06	-0.00	7	56%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.07
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	55%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	17	57%	0.08	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.05
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.08	0.00	6	58%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	14	43%	-0.02	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	10	30%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.3	28.7	15.4	22.3	2.4	37.0	132.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +42.5%

DAL +7.0%

SAS -11.1%

DAL +6.9%

DAL +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	SAS	NBA	DAL	SAS	NBA
this game	16.1	14.1	14.8	109.4	106.3	107.7
season	16.2	15.4		104.4	110.1
opponent	14.8	14.7		103.7	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.5	14.7	15.8	17.8	16.1
SAS	13.5	13.6	13.0	16.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Harrison Barnes	73	70	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-6	16	16.2	15.8	0.34	14.0	14.3	-0.35
Dwight Powell	17	16	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.42	8	-4	12	19.8	15.3	4.47	18.0	13.3	4.73
Seth Curry	75	72	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.33	10	-6	16	16.2	15.8	0.35	14.3	13.3	0.94
Yogi Ferrell	72	72	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.21	12	-8	20	16.2	15.6	0.61	13.4	16.0	-2.61
Dorian Finney-Smith	31	33	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.32	-2	6	-8	16.9	15.7	1.16	14.7	13.7	0.92
Wesley Matthews	66	63	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	-2	8	15.5	17.4	-1.96	13.6	14.9	-1.27
Dirk Nowitzki	57	57	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.10	10	-6	16	15.7	16.7	-0.98	13.8	14.5	-0.73
Devin Harris	36	37	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.20	-8	12	-20	15.5	16.4	-0.93	14.9	13.6	1.31
Salah Mejri	14	16	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	6	-8	14.4	16.4	-1.94	15.4	13.8	1.65
Nicolas Brussino	9	9	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	10	-16	16.6	16.0	0.52	14.0	14.1	-0.07
Justin Anderson	13	13	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.02	-7	11	-18	15.9	16.1	-0.19	13.2	14.2	-0.96
Andrew Bogut	17	17	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.10	-11	15	-26	15.8	16.1	-0.32	11.5	14.6	-3.16

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patty Mills	46	46	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.07	8	-12	20	12.8	15.3	-2.52	15.1	17.0	-1.87
Dewayne Dedmon	27	28	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.11	9	-13	22	12.9	14.5	-1.59	16.3	16.0	0.34
Manu Ginobili	47	49	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.33	13	-17	30	13.2	14.9	-1.77	15.9	16.3	-0.46
Davis Bertans	34	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-1	-2	14.1	14.1	-0.01	15.9	16.2	-0.22
Kyle Anderson	27	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-8	12	15.6	13.5	2.14	15.9	16.2	-0.27
David Lee	50	48	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.17	-1	-3	2	13.9	14.2	-0.34	16.5	15.6	0.92
Tony Parker	44	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.08	-13	9	-22	15.1	13.2	1.87	16.5	15.7	0.81
Kawhi Leonard	73	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	6	-16	13.8	15.0	-1.16	16.1	15.9	0.23
LaMarcus Aldridge	68	68	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.28	-13	9	-22	14.5	12.9	1.59	16.0	16.3	-0.34
Danny Green	59	59	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.30	-14	10	-24	14.8	12.8	1.98	16.4	15.5	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.64,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.47,0.31,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 117, SAC 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.4,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.42,0.21,0.11,0.07,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.04,0	91.6%
DEN 111, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.62,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.17,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.01,0	91.2%
LAC 98, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.47,0.28,0.42,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.05,0,0,0,0	91.1%