NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	100		Excitement	4.1 [990]		MVP	George Hill (UTA): +24.1%
Utah Jazz	109		Comeback	1.0 [1147]		LVP	Raul Neto (UTA): -8.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	-0.00	-0.04	11	79%	0.12	5	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Paul George	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	16	59%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	78%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	9	65%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.06	10	68%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.09	13	56%	-0.01	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
CJ Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.19	0.04	-0.01	16	70%	0.26	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.02
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	13	75%	0.18	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.01	10	76%	0.12	2	-0.01	5	60%	0.02
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	8	72%	0.07	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	6	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	7	44%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.00	-0.07	8	12%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	27.6	15.4	23.4	1.7	34.0	128.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +14.0%

UTA +17.0%

UTA +13.1%

UTA +6.5%

IND -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	UTA	NBA	IND	UTA	NBA
this game	13.8	15.8	14.8	103.1	112.4	107.7
season	14.9	16.1		107.5	108.0
opponent	15.0	14.8		105.0	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.7	14.8	13.6	12.2	13.8
UTA	13.6	15.8	17.7	16.4	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Seraphin	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	8.0	13.9	-5.91	14.5	15.9	-1.37
Georges Niang	1	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	8.0	13.9	-5.91	14.5	15.9	-1.37
Lavoy Allen	14	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.04	-1	-8	7	12.4	14.1	-1.74	12.5	16.5	-4.00
Aaron Brooks	13	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.03	-5	-4	-1	14.2	13.8	0.45	11.8	16.5	-4.71
CJ Miles	60	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.26	3	-12	15	13.2	14.9	-1.69	15.4	16.6	-1.20
Al Jefferson	30	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	2	-13	14.0	13.8	0.18	13.7	16.8	-3.06
Glenn Robinson	27	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-2	-5	15.0	13.4	1.55	17.4	15.3	2.11
Monta Ellis	70	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.21	-2	-7	5	13.4	15.0	-1.55	15.3	17.4	-2.11
Myles Turner	64	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-8	7	14.1	13.4	0.64	16.9	13.9	2.98
Thaddeus Young	76	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.22	-4	-5	1	13.8	14.0	-0.14	16.5	13.6	2.86
Jeff Teague	74	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	-4	-1	13.9	13.7	0.20	16.6	13.6	2.99
Paul George	55	56	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	7	-23	14.7	12.7	1.99	16.4	15.0	1.42

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	65	66	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.14	8	1	7	16.6	14.3	2.29	14.6	12.3	2.33
Boris Diaw	37	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	5	-1	16.9	15.2	1.65	13.5	14.1	-0.58
Gordon Hayward	61	63	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.20	3	6	-3	16.8	14.3	2.45	13.8	13.9	-0.06
Alec Burks	40	39	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	3	3	14.6	16.7	-2.08	14.2	13.6	0.52
Rudy Gobert	66	67	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	6	-3	17.0	13.4	3.61	13.8	14.0	-0.18
Joe Ingles	66	67	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	8	-7	16.4	14.6	1.81	13.6	14.3	-0.66
Trey Lyles	26	26	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	-1	11	13.5	16.7	-3.15	14.0	13.8	0.21
Joe Johnson	46	44	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	6	-3	14.3	17.3	-3.01	13.5	14.1	-0.55
Derrick Favors	48	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.03	8	1	7	15.1	16.6	-1.55	14.3	13.3	1.01
Raul Neto	28	26	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.09	1	8	-7	14.6	16.3	-1.74	12.3	14.4	-2.05
Jeff Withey	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	14.5	15.9	-1.37	8.0	13.9	-5.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, MIN 122	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
PHI 91, LAC 127	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
WAS 100, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%