inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 100 Excitement3.6 [1072] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +25.2%
Denver Nuggets 111 Comeback1.0 [1245] LVPRoger Mason Jr. (WAS): -5.1%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darius Songaila0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.070.000.041065%0.051-0.013100%0.01
Antawn Jamison0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.010.031948%0.0100.00667%-0.01
Nick Young-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.040.000.061359%0.032-0.04683%-0.00
Antonio Daniels-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
DeShawn Stevenson-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.001447%0.022-0.03475%-0.00
Brendan Haywood-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.01654%0.021-0.041100%0.00
Dominic McGuire-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.000.000.02367%-0.001-0.0100%0.00
Andray Blatche-0.020,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.010.000.021070%0.054-0.0700%0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.080.00-0.0350%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.030.000.02831%-0.0500.0000%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.250.250.410.010.162584%0.2510.008100%0.02
Allen Iverson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.02-0.02978%0.136-0.07580%-0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.01-0.011357%0.072-0.032100%0.01
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.040.000.021100%0.0200.001100%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.021138%-0.0000.004100%0.01
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.060.00-0.04525%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.01743%0.002-0.0300%0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.090.00-0.04743%0.014-0.0500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.73.728.618.527.93.830.4137.6
league avg27.92.430.016.226.62.433.3140.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +39.2%
DEN +3.2%
DEN +2.5%
DEN +0.6%
DEN +4.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASDENNBAWASDENNBA
this game15.314.615.4105.3113.3105.7
season16.113.3106.8108.2
opponent15.215.5105.4107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS16.713.416.514.815.3
DEN13.413.814.816.514.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Oleksiy Pecherov3233-0.09-0.410.32-0.214-151913.216.4-3.2114.114.8-0.72
Brendan Haywood3637-0.10-0.400.30-0.100-111115.815.00.7915.813.81.99
Dominic McGuire3434-0.10-0.400.29-0.224-151914.315.9-1.5915.014.30.66
Antonio Daniels1314-0.14-0.360.210.06-7-4-316.815.01.8114.114.7-0.58
Nick Young5657-0.15-0.350.20-0.212-131514.216.8-2.5614.814.30.48
Roger Mason Jr.5354-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.19-4-7315.215.4-0.1714.514.6-0.12
Darius Songaila4850-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-10-1-915.015.6-0.5713.315.9-2.55
DeShawn Stevenson6871-0.40-0.10-0.31-0.02-132-1515.913.72.2114.514.6-0.08
Antawn Jamison7174-0.42-0.08-0.340.02-154-1915.813.62.2214.614.30.32
Andray Blatche6466-0.43-0.07-0.350.04-165-2116.213.42.8214.814.20.57

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Camby74720.52-0.020.540.0516-52114.215.7-1.5615.713.91.81
Anthony Carter73700.480.020.460.0415-41914.614.40.1815.913.72.18
Carmelo Anthony78770.460.040.420.0514-31714.714.10.5315.813.22.54
Kenyon Martin75720.430.070.350.0413-21514.614.50.1215.913.42.50
Allen Iverson88850.420.080.340.1692714.912.12.7515.315.20.09
Linas Kleiza54530.170.33-0.160.26-314-1714.614.50.1314.316.5-2.14
Eduardo Najera36350.030.47-0.440.20-617-2314.814.40.4113.316.5-3.21
J.R. Smith1211-0.000.50-0.510.08-314-1712.714.8-2.1712.415.7-3.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 83, PHI 940.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.83,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,196.4%
CHA 85, DET 1040.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
NJN 74, WAS 940.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.2%