NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	3.7 [1124]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +15.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	122		Comeback	1.0 [868]		LVP	Devin Harris (UTA): -10.9%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.15	-0.00	0.08	8	100%	0.09	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Evans	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	7	74%	0.06	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Derrick Favors	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Earl Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	5	71%	0.04	4	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Cousin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	12	54%	0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kyrylo Fesenko	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	13	32%	-0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Devin Harris	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	7	44%	-0.02	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.19	0.02	0.05	12	86%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.02	0.04	7	81%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	2	150%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	100%	0.05	3	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	56%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	6	17%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lazar Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	7	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.03	18	57%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	31.2	16.0	27.3	2.3	27.3	130.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +31.4%

MIN +8.7%

MIN +5.5%

MIN +3.6%

MIN +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.5	103.1	124.5	105.7
season	15.9	14.3		106.4	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.5	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.4	15.1	15.5	12.4	14.8
MIN	13.5	13.2	15.2	16.4	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	33	34	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.25	10	-31	41	13.8	15.4	-1.57	16.8	13.4	3.42
Kyrylo Fesenko	21	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.09	-4	-17	13	14.3	15.0	-0.63	13.2	14.9	-1.74
Marcus Cousin	28	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.15	-6	-15	9	14.2	15.1	-0.86	12.7	15.3	-2.66
Earl Watson	56	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-19	17	13.9	16.1	-2.22	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Gordon Hayward	56	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-19	17	13.9	16.1	-2.22	14.5	14.7	-0.23
CJ Miles	59	61	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-17	13	13.9	16.2	-2.25	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Andrei Kirilenko	50	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.27	-22	1	-23	16.0	13.6	2.31	14.9	14.2	0.72
Devin Harris	42	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	-2	-17	16.1	13.9	2.22	14.7	14.5	0.23
Raja Bell	42	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	-2	-17	16.1	13.9	2.22	14.7	14.5	0.23
Al Jefferson	61	61	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.26	-25	4	-29	15.9	13.0	2.89	14.6	14.5	0.12
Derrick Favors	42	41	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.16	-12	-9	-3	14.6	15.0	-0.36	14.4	14.7	-0.34

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	60	61	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.22	20	1	19	14.6	14.5	0.14	15.4	13.8	1.59
Michael Beasley	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.17	18	3	15	14.6	14.4	0.23	15.3	14.1	1.17
Darko Milicic	52	52	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.25	20	1	19	14.4	14.7	-0.29	15.6	13.9	1.68
Luke Ridnour	48	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.04	13	8	5	14.6	14.6	0.00	15.7	14.0	1.73
Wayne Ellington	38	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.44	25	-4	29	13.2	15.4	-2.21	15.6	14.4	1.23
Wesley Johnson	45	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.06	5	16	-11	15.0	14.2	0.73	15.6	14.1	1.48
Jonny Flynn	50	49	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.07	8	13	-5	14.6	14.6	-0.00	14.0	15.7	-1.73
Nikola Pekovic	31	32	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.13	10	11	-1	13.7	15.0	-1.25	15.6	14.5	1.09
Martell Webster	36	36	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	18	-15	14.4	14.6	-0.23	14.1	15.3	-1.17
Anthony Tolliver	38	37	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.11	1	20	-19	14.5	14.6	-0.14	13.8	15.4	-1.59
Anthony Randolph	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	30	-39	16.8	14.2	2.64	10.2	15.6	-5.38
Lazar Hayward	15	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	30	-39	16.8	14.2	2.64	10.2	15.6	-5.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 100, UTA 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.69,0.63,0.55,0.67,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.87,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%
PHI 91, LAC 127	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.75,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.79,0.71,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.73,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
POR 86, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%