NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	114		Excitement	5.4 [747]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +31.7%
Houston Rockets	121		Comeback	1.2 [948]		LVP	Michael Kidd-Gilchrist (CHA): -6.5%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.23,0.23,0.19	0.14	0.12	0.08	14	73%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.02	0.02	10	73%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.06,0.05	0.02	0.06	0.03	20	58%	0.15	5	-0.09	3	67%	-0.04
Roy Hibbert	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	-0.01	0.06	10	80%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	12	42%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Treveon Graham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.02	0.01	-0.04	-0.01	13	58%	0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.18,0.32	0.32	0.17	0.14	-0.01	24	65%	0.39	4	-0.08	14	79%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.05	0.18	0.00	12	54%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.02	-0.03	10	64%	0.15	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	5	87%	0.12	0	0.00	6	67%	0.01
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	10	75%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	10	36%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Sam Dekker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	27.2	14.7	25.5	1.8	31.7	127.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +30.6%

HOU +9.8%

HOU +5.8%

HOU +2.3%

HOU +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	HOU	NBA	CHA	HOU	NBA
this game	15.6	13.3	14.8	114.0	122.2	107.7
season	15.1	13.7		107.9	113.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		108.1	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.7	17.3	15.9	14.6	15.6
HOU	12.4	14.0	11.8	15.4	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	38	38	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-9	11	16.1	15.3	0.87	13.4	13.3	0.17
Treveon Graham	9	8	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-4	1	11.7	16.0	-4.31	13.7	13.3	0.44
Marco Belinelli	62	61	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.37	7	-14	21	14.8	16.9	-2.19	13.2	13.6	-0.42
Marvin Williams	52	53	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-8	9	15.6	15.6	0.05	13.3	13.4	-0.13
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	70	69	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.30	3	-10	13	15.7	15.4	0.22	13.4	13.2	0.16
Kemba Walker	73	73	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.39	6	-13	19	15.7	15.2	0.50	14.1	11.3	2.81
Ramon Sessions	30	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	8	-23	16.1	15.4	0.68	11.9	14.0	-2.07
Spencer Hawes	53	51	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	4	-15	15.4	15.8	-0.45	13.3	13.4	-0.18
Frank Kaminsky	57	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-1	-5	15.4	15.8	-0.43	13.4	13.3	0.15
Jeremy Lamb	56	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	12	-31	16.6	14.3	2.35	13.2	13.5	-0.30

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	66	65	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	1	5	14.0	12.0	2.02	15.8	15.3	0.47
James Harden	80	81	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	5	-3	13.0	14.7	-1.66	15.0	18.1	-3.04
Nene	40	43	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.05	14	-7	21	11.4	14.6	-3.22	15.1	15.9	-0.83
Trevor Ariza	81	81	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.30	2	5	-3	14.0	10.4	3.54	15.8	14.6	1.25
Ryan Anderson	74	77	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.25	3	4	-1	13.1	14.1	-1.04	15.4	16.3	-0.98
Sam Dekker	43	44	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	-3	13	12.3	14.2	-1.92	16.2	15.1	1.06
Corey Brewer	52	52	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	2	3	13.2	13.4	-0.20	15.7	15.4	0.33
Montrezl Harrell	59	57	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.34	-7	14	-21	14.6	11.4	3.22	15.9	15.1	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.89,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.89,0.72,0.67,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, DAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.85,0.74,1	93.7%
NJN 85, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.84,1	93.1%
ATL 110, CHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.8,0.9,1	93.1%