NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	85		Excitement	5.2 [781]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +14.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Comeback	1.0 [989]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -20.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	0.00	11	71%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Todd MacCulloch	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	6	87%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jason Collins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Keith Van Horn	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.03	6	83%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Richard Jefferson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	12	33%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Kidd	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.19	-0.08	-0.12	-0.01	11	37%	-0.15	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.05
Kenyon Martin	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2	-0.05	-0.16	-0.00	15	37%	-0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	17	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Felipe Lopez	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.05	0.01	11	64%	0.06	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Robert Pack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	12	37%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	16	42%	-0.09	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.9	2.6	25.9	15.0	22.3	2.4	32.4	121.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +32.1%

NJN -2.9%

MIN +27.8%

NJN -9.5%

MIN +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MIN	NBA	NJN	MIN	NBA
this game	15.8	18.3	15.6	100.0	102.4	102.3
season	14.7	15.0		101.4	106.7
opponent	16.1	16.0		103.8	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	16.5	15.4	15.5	15.8	15.8
MIN	16.2	17.4	18.8	20.9	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Johnson	19	18	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.23	13	-14	27	16.0	15.8	0.24	18.9	18.1	0.84
Aaron Williams	24	23	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.21	9	-10	19	16.5	15.6	0.90	19.6	17.8	1.76
Todd MacCulloch	44	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	3	-7	15.8	15.8	-0.03	17.1	19.6	-2.49
Jason Collins	36	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.43	7	-8	15	15.5	16.0	-0.54	19.4	17.4	1.90
Kerry Kittles	49	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	7	-15	16.0	15.5	0.54	17.4	19.4	-1.90
Richard Jefferson	47	49	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.46	6	-7	13	15.9	15.7	0.14	19.6	16.5	3.04
Lucious Harris	41	41	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-4	7	15.8	15.8	0.03	19.6	17.1	2.49
Keith Van Horn	41	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	12	-25	15.8	15.8	-0.01	17.1	19.3	-2.20
Kenyon Martin	63	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.28	-8	7	-15	15.7	16.1	-0.38	17.8	19.8	-2.01
Jason Kidd	61	62	-0.58	0.09	-0.67	-0.29	-10	9	-19	15.6	16.5	-0.90	17.9	19.4	-1.52

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	67	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-7	15	17.9	19.9	-2.08	15.8	15.7	0.16
Chauncey Billups	68	67	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	-5	11	17.9	20.1	-2.19	15.7	16.3	-0.59
Kevin Garnett	75	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.42	3	-2	5	17.9	21.6	-3.66	15.8	15.4	0.42
Sam Mitchell	52	54	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.38	-1	2	-3	19.1	16.9	2.23	15.9	15.7	0.21
Felipe Lopez	1	0	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.29	0	1	-1	0.0	18.5	-18.51	0.0	15.8	-15.81
Anthony Peeler	36	36	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-8	17	16.9	19.3	-2.35	16.1	15.6	0.57
Wally Szczerbiak	66	66	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	5	-9	19.2	14.9	4.32	15.6	16.5	-0.92
Gary Trent	22	21	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.14	-4	5	-9	17.9	18.4	-0.57	15.6	15.9	-0.32
Robert Pack	16	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	6	-11	20.1	17.9	2.19	16.3	15.7	0.59
Joe Smith	17	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.10	-7	8	-15	19.9	17.9	2.08	15.7	15.8	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 114, UTA 118	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.75,0.64,0.77,0.92,1	94.8%
ATL 110, CHI 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.83,0.8,0.9,1	94.4%
POR 98, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.85,1	94.3%