inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 99 Excitement9.1 [141] MVPJohn Wall (WAS): +21.6%
Washington Wizards 101 Comeback9.7 [496] LVPDoug McDermott (CHI): -24.7%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bobby Portis0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.090.09-0.01881%0.201-0.0200%0.00
Robin Lopez0.130,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.130.020.120.001056%0.182-0.04580%0.06
Taj Gibson0.070,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.010.07-0.011140%0.0700.003100%0.03
Denzel Valentine-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.09-0.080.031563%0.061-0.0700%0.00
Cristiano Felicio-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00350%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Isaiah Canaan-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Rajon Rondo-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.011346%0.012-0.0400%0.00
Jerian Grant-0.170,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.05-0.12-0.00564%0.015-0.184100%0.02
Michael Carter-Williams-0.180,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18-0.05-0.130.001245%-0.113-0.08786%0.02
Doug McDermott-0.250,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25-0.12-0.13-0.011118%-0.231-0.0200%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Wall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,0.220.220.020.220.022157%0.375-0.16475%0.01
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.090.120.001279%0.313-0.1000%0.00
Marcin Gortat0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.07,0.070.07-0.010.080.00862%0.173-0.1000%0.00
Otto Porter0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.010.021055%0.0200.0000%0.00
Sheldon McClellan00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trey Burke0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.030.00475%0.062-0.0900%0.00
Jason Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.020.00750%0.043-0.1100%0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.08-0.03-0.00621%-0.081-0.02250%-0.01
Bradley Beal0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.090.021558%-0.044-0.08367%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.030.814.625.22.033.8132.5
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +107.2%
CHI -42.4%
CHI -8.1%
CHI -9.0%
WAS +2.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIWASNBACHIWASNBA
this game15.513.014.898.0100.0107.7
season15.114.4105.9109.9
opponent14.914.8108.7105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.614.516.017.015.5
WAS14.211.212.814.313.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cristiano Felicio30300.32-0.821.150.185-71216.015.30.7713.612.80.83
Bobby Portis36380.07-0.570.65-0.106-81415.815.30.4413.912.51.49
Denzel Valentine63630.04-0.540.58-0.4316-183415.016.3-1.3213.312.60.71
Taj Gibson62610.02-0.520.540.19-64-1015.914.90.9312.513.8-1.37
Michael Carter-Williams6261-0.03-0.470.440.09-42-615.815.10.7212.613.6-1.04
Jerian Grant5554-0.23-0.270.04-0.14-31-414.916.3-1.4113.312.70.59
Isaiah Canaan2122-0.34-0.15-0.19-0.08-97-1616.115.30.7611.613.4-1.77
Rajon Rondo5555-0.600.10-0.70-0.724-61015.415.6-0.2113.312.70.64
Robin Lopez7171-0.820.32-1.15-0.62-75-1215.316.0-0.7712.813.6-0.83
Doug McDermott5050-0.920.42-1.35-0.57-1210-2215.715.30.3713.112.90.24

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Wall84851.11-0.611.710.4024-224612.814.1-1.2515.714.61.11
Marcin Gortat87881.09-0.591.670.6216-143012.913.6-0.7215.515.8-0.31
Otto Porter71730.83-0.331.170.3616-143012.414.4-2.0115.715.00.68
Bradley Beal77780.470.030.440.277-51212.813.8-1.0115.615.30.25
Kelly Oubre Jr.52500.320.180.130.46-57-1212.913.2-0.2813.817.2-3.44
Markieff Morris4345-0.020.52-0.540.01-13-413.512.70.8617.014.32.75
Trey Burke2727-0.190.69-0.880.13-1113-2414.212.61.6414.715.8-1.03
Sheldon McClellan1614-0.450.95-1.400.11-1921-4013.412.90.5015.015.6-0.57
Jason Smith4845-0.661.16-1.81-0.16-1719-3613.712.41.3515.815.20.63


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.18,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.47,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.27,0.17,0.27,0.47,0.75,0.71,0.57,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
IND 82, CHI 830.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.58,188.0%
OKC 98, DAL 990.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.58,187.9%
NJN 92, WAS 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.3,0.38,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.67,0.86,0.7,0.78,0.85,187.9%