inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 98 Excitement9.6 [72] MVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): +39.9%
Dallas Mavericks 99 Comeback3.7 [513] LVPRussell Westbrook (OKC): -45.6%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Durant0.080,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.17,-0.04,0.08-0.040.110.001858%0.408-0.321687%0.04
Eric Maynor0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06-0.010.06-0.01747%0.091-0.04367%-0.00
Serge Ibaka0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.000.03-0.00367%0.071-0.0300%0.00
Nenad Krstic0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.030.01560%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Nick Collison0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.00-0.00762%0.071-0.042100%0.02
James Harden0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00861%0.092-0.08250%-0.01
Thabo Sefolosha-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeff Green-0.050,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.06-0.021337%-0.0500.00475%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.460,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.46-0.08-0.38-0.011945%-0.334-0.132100%0.02

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.40.400.100.30-0.001863%0.544-0.141593%0.13
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.130.130.060.080.001757%0.161-0.02333%-0.16
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.030.080.00560%0.1100.0000%0.00
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.04-0.00858%0.111-0.03333%-0.01
Jose Juan Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.02-0.010.00375%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Quinton Ross00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
James Singleton00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.030.01175%0.032-0.076100%0.03
Erick Dampier0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.02-0.01460%0.014-0.072100%0.03
Josh Howard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.11-0.05-0.001431%-0.131-0.04887%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.21.832.216.726.01.840.5148.2
league avg26.22.430.316.527.22.433.7141.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +63.6%
OKC -14.8%
OKC -32.2%
DAL +27.2%
DAL +6.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDALNBAOKCDALNBA
this game16.014.315.3103.2104.2106.0
season15.015.2106.2107.2
opponent15.515.5104.6103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.515.817.816.316.0
DAL13.713.514.915.014.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Maynor30310.17-0.670.840.083-4718.115.12.9612.215.3-3.09
Serge Ibaka4243-0.14-0.360.23-0.05-32-517.315.12.2313.115.2-2.16
Jeff Green7675-0.15-0.350.21-0.419-101915.817.1-1.3314.612.91.68
James Harden4850-0.16-0.340.18-0.10-21-317.015.11.9413.814.8-1.04
Nenad Krstic3535-0.23-0.270.05-0.375-61115.816.2-0.3415.013.81.15
Nick Collison4545-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.09-98-1717.115.12.0713.814.7-0.94
Thabo Sefolosha5049-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.35-32-514.717.6-2.8814.913.61.33
Russell Westbrook7371-0.510.01-0.51-0.45-21-315.218.7-3.4915.111.83.27
Kevin Durant7676-0.700.20-0.91-0.62-32-515.318.8-3.5014.513.21.33

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Kidd73750.81-0.311.130.588-71514.613.11.4815.617.7-2.16
Shawn Marion64660.57-0.070.640.367-61314.314.10.2116.315.40.90
Dirk Nowitzki77780.56-0.060.630.454-3714.911.63.3515.319.4-4.10
Jason Terry66660.55-0.050.600.434-3714.014.8-0.7516.016.1-0.09
Erick Dampier51520.380.120.250.322-1315.213.21.9917.214.72.50
Quinton Ross570.320.180.140.233-2512.614.4-1.7717.715.91.81
Drew Gooden3937-0.050.55-0.60-0.0810113.115.1-1.9415.316.5-1.22
Josh Howard6461-0.160.66-0.820.19-1213-2514.114.6-0.5515.616.8-1.22
James Singleton1413-0.170.67-0.83-0.02-56-1112.814.5-1.7517.915.72.18
Jose Juan Barea2220-0.310.81-1.13-0.11-78-1513.114.6-1.4817.715.62.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.57,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 88, PHI 890.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.22,0.55,0.61,0.45,0.58,191.3%
NYK 84, GSW 860.5,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.21,0.28,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.33,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.48,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.46,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.57,0.42,190.7%
DAL 71, DEN 750.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.41,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.25,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.46,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.72,190.5%