NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	112		Excitement	11.0 [36]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (ATL): +94.0%
Atlanta Hawks	114		Comeback	12.2 [97]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -19.6%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.3	0.16	0.09	-0.05	17	75%	0.39	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Danny Green	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.12	0.00	8	56%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	10	69%	0.17	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Kawhi Leonard	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.08	-0.04	0.11	-0.00	12	42%	0.11	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.04
Manu Ginobili	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	5	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Tony Parker	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.08,0.14,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.00	18	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patty Mills	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	8	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	9	44%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathon Simmons	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.52,0.65,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.94	0.94	0.29	0.65	0.00	13	104%	1.01	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.07
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,0.05,0.14,0.24,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	23	57%	0.23	2	-0.07	10	70%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	12	58%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	3	30%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	10	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.09	4	50%	-0.03
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.24,-0.21,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.12	0.00	17	43%	-0.10	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	31.2	14.8	31.1	2.5	33.9	1.6	22.1	162.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +30.5%

SAS -4.7%

ATL +36.7%

SAS -15.9%

ATL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	ATL	NBA	SAS	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.9	14.8	108.7	111.8	107.7
season	15.4	14.4		110.1	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		104.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	15.4	18.7	14.0	19.0	11.9	16.1
ATL	14.6	14.0	14.8	15.3	16.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathon Simmons	31	32	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.18	5	-7	12	18.8	15.0	3.79	15.8	14.5	1.39
Pau Gasol	73	73	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-9	16	16.2	15.8	0.41	15.7	12.9	2.74
LaMarcus Aldridge	81	81	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.48	18	-20	38	16.5	14.9	1.61	15.5	12.6	2.92
Tony Parker	57	57	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-4	6	16.9	15.1	1.84	16.5	12.9	3.62
Patty Mills	45	44	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	1	-4	15.4	16.7	-1.33	13.0	16.3	-3.33
Manu Ginobili	43	42	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.37	5	-7	12	13.7	17.8	-4.09	13.7	15.7	-2.08
Dewayne Dedmon	13	11	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	10	-22	16.7	16.0	0.65	13.1	15.1	-2.02
Kyle Anderson	17	15	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.01	-10	8	-18	16.4	16.1	0.27	14.4	15.0	-0.58
David Lee	38	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	13	-28	15.3	16.6	-1.28	12.8	16.1	-3.27
Danny Green	58	58	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.55	0	-2	2	16.5	15.7	0.82	16.7	12.5	4.17
Kawhi Leonard	59	59	-1.15	0.65	-1.79	-0.94	-7	5	-12	15.6	16.8	-1.21	13.3	17.0	-3.68

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	61	63	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.46	14	-12	26	13.5	16.9	-3.40	16.5	15.5	1.06
Mike Muscala	38	37	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.46	9	-7	16	12.7	16.2	-3.44	15.9	16.2	-0.32
Kyle Korver	75	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-9	20	15.1	14.2	0.91	15.8	17.1	-1.33
Paul Millsap	91	92	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.50	-5	7	-12	15.0	13.7	1.31	15.6	20.4	-4.74
Malcolm Delaney	39	38	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-7	16	12.7	16.2	-3.48	17.2	15.5	1.76
Dennis Schroder	63	65	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.44	-7	9	-16	16.2	12.7	3.48	15.5	17.2	-1.76
Kris Humphries	11	11	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.06	7	-5	12	13.7	15.0	-1.31	20.4	15.6	4.74
Thabo Sefolosha	33	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.19	-7	9	-16	13.8	15.4	-1.54	17.3	15.6	1.68
Dwight Howard	65	67	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	8	-14	16.0	12.9	3.14	16.0	16.3	-0.23
Kent Bazemore	35	35	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.19	-14	16	-30	17.7	13.4	4.34	15.1	16.7	-1.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.29,0.47,0.49,0.34,0.28,0.14,0.21,0.1,0.16,0.46,0.4,0.79,0.86,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 116, BOS 123	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.57,0.54,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.51,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.42,0.59,0.59,0.4,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.05,0.46,0.61,0.84,0.95,0.98,1	89.3%
LAC 109, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.91,0.99,1	89.0%
POR 103, UTA 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.33,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.24,0.07,0.22,0.41,0.54,0.76,0.85,0.93,0.96,1	89.0%