NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	98		Excitement	7.1 [442]		MVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): +22.2%
New Orleans Pelicans	102		Comeback	4.8 [457]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (LAC): -17.1%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.02	0.02	15	60%	0.09	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Alan Anderson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.1,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	20	52%	0.08	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	12	44%	0.05	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	6	65%	0.07	4	-0.10	8	37%	-0.06
Raymond Felton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.02	15	23%	-0.14	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.13,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22	0.22	0.06	0.15	-0.02	9	67%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.09	-0.03	7	64%	0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.00	11	77%	0.17	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	16	50%	0.10	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.02
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	12	34%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	12	42%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.7	34.3	15.7	24.1	1.7	35.4	138.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +54.8%

LAC -3.3%

LAC -22.5%

NOP +24.2%

LAC -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOP	NBA	LAC	NOP	NBA
this game	15.9	14.1	14.8	103.2	105.2	107.7
season	15.0	14.1		110.8	104.1
opponent	15.0	14.8		106.2	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.9	15.4	15.9	15.5	15.9
NOP	13.3	14.6	13.6	15.1	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alan Anderson	11	12	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.00	4	-8	12	15.3	16.0	-0.70	13.7	14.2	-0.43
Wesley Johnson	34	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-1	-2	17.5	15.0	2.50	15.6	13.3	2.29
Raymond Felton	45	46	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-7	10	14.2	17.5	-3.30	14.0	14.2	-0.19
DeAndre Jordan	77	78	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-10	16	15.9	15.9	-0.06	14.0	14.5	-0.50
Luc Mbah a Moute	65	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	4	-12	16.4	14.8	1.55	13.5	15.4	-1.91
Brandon Bass	28	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	1	-6	14.9	16.3	-1.42	13.7	14.3	-0.62
Marreese Speights	36	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	3	-10	15.8	15.9	-0.10	13.1	14.8	-1.66
Chris Paul	58	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	0	-4	17.1	14.0	3.10	14.7	13.1	1.64
Jamal Crawford	59	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	14.5	18.2	-3.79	14.2	14.1	0.12
Austin Rivers	62	64	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.46	-3	-1	-2	16.6	14.5	2.07	14.4	13.5	0.88

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	67	59	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.24	8	-4	12	13.9	14.6	-0.74	17.4	13.5	3.86
Tyreke Evans	34	34	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.32	4	0	4	14.0	14.2	-0.24	14.4	16.7	-2.36
Anthony Davis	74	74	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	0	4	13.7	15.6	-1.89	15.9	16.0	-0.20
Solomon Hill	47	46	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.09	9	-5	14	13.8	14.4	-0.65	17.4	14.5	2.90
Terrence Jones	47	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	0	4	14.3	14.0	0.34	15.0	16.8	-1.77
E'Twaun Moore	41	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.49	-6	10	-16	15.0	13.5	1.56	15.2	16.4	-1.11
Langston Galloway	65	64	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.30	-4	8	-12	13.9	14.6	-0.75	14.4	18.9	-4.51
Jrue Holiday	67	67	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	3	-2	14.3	13.6	0.71	16.2	15.1	1.12
Buddy Hield	43	44	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.15	0	4	-4	14.7	13.6	1.07	16.8	15.1	1.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.24,0.19,0.24,0.46,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.9,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 79, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.39,0.33,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.37,0.32,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.87,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.96,1	93.1%
MIA 102, MEM 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.28,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.9,0.97,1,1,1	93.0%
SEA 87, NYK 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,1,1	92.7%