NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	87		Excitement	6.3 [556]		MVP	Brent Barry (SEA): +13.9%
New York Knicks	89		Comeback	6.7 [88]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -20.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brent Barry	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.11	0.06	0.03	11	74%	0.16	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	20	48%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Shammond Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Art Long	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	2	17%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.13	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	8	37%	-0.11	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.04
Gary Payton	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.2	-0.05	-0.14	0.02	19	48%	-0.16	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.04	-0.01	13	65%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.07	-0.01	20	52%	0.14	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	8	58%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	11	58%	0.02	5	-0.11	2	0%	-0.04
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.07
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	19.5	2.7	29.3	17.4	21.5	2.5	38.2	131.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +59.1%

SEA -9.9%

NYK +13.0%

SEA -14.0%

NYK +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	NYK	NBA	SEA	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	15.0	15.6	92.6	95.7	102.3
season	16.0	15.9		106.3	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.8		103.9	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.9	16.3	16.5	15.5	15.8
NYK	13.4	16.4	16.2	14.5	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vladimir Radmanovic	49	48	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.04	7	-9	16	15.4	16.2	-0.81	15.1	15.0	0.13
Shammond Williams	16	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.18	3	-5	8	12.5	16.4	-3.95	14.6	15.1	-0.45
Rashard Lewis	72	70	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.43	11	-13	24	14.4	20.3	-5.87	14.8	15.6	-0.72
Brent Barry	81	77	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.38	8	-10	18	15.0	20.3	-5.26	15.2	14.1	1.16
Art Long	25	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.02	-6	4	-10	17.7	15.1	2.59	16.0	14.6	1.39
Jerome James	23	24	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	0	-2	15.6	15.8	-0.28	15.0	15.0	0.03
Gary Payton	84	85	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.41	5	-7	12	15.6	16.9	-1.26	14.5	20.1	-5.58
Predrag Drobnjak	46	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.14	-10	8	-18	17.3	14.3	2.99	15.6	14.4	1.20
Earl Watson	17	20	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	14	-30	19.0	15.1	3.94	13.4	15.5	-2.07
Desmond Mason	57	56	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.41	-10	8	-18	17.1	13.8	3.24	15.4	14.5	0.84

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	47	48	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.39	16	-14	30	15.1	14.9	0.26	17.0	14.5	2.59
Othella Harrington	47	47	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.45	3	-1	4	15.5	14.6	0.90	16.8	14.8	1.98
Latrell Sprewell	89	89	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	0	2	15.0	14.5	0.54	15.5	20.8	-5.31
Kurt Thomas	74	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	-1	4	14.5	17.1	-2.62	16.0	14.9	1.11
Allan Houston	83	83	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.47	-2	4	-6	14.5	19.1	-4.57	15.8	15.5	0.26
Shandon Anderson	14	17	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	-2	6	17.8	14.5	3.25	16.4	15.6	0.70
Travis Knight	5	6	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.02	5	-3	8	16.4	14.9	1.46	13.5	15.9	-2.43
Felton Spencer	8	8	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	-1	4	18.4	14.7	3.67	16.4	15.7	0.65
Clar. Weatherspoon	52	52	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.04	-10	12	-22	14.7	15.4	-0.66	15.0	16.8	-1.82
Mark Jackson	46	46	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.05	-14	16	-30	14.9	15.1	-0.26	14.5	17.0	-2.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.29,0.38,0.43,0.52,0.57,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 102, CHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.57,0.72,0.81,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.2%
TOR 95, CHI 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.38,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.98,0.99,1	93.1%
BOS 95, LAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.78,0.96,0.97,1,1,1	92.9%