NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	95		Excitement	6.6 [525]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (LAL): +12.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	104		Comeback	4.3 [563]		LVP	Chucky Atkins (LAL): -20.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Blount	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	60%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	3	87%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ricky Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	16	66%	0.12	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Al Jefferson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Kendrick Perkins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	44%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	8	35%	-0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Gary Payton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	42%	-0.06	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.02	14	61%	0.05	5	-0.15	13	69%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	12	58%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.05	0.02	14	64%	0.13	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	11	59%	0.07	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.03
Slava Medvedenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	4	70%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	21%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	42%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	13	55%	-0.01	3	-0.06	12	75%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	0.02	0.01	9	37%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	17%	-0.09
Chucky Atkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.08	0.03	8	28%	-0.16	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.8	35.1	16.5	24.2	2.5	32.4	140.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +9.3%

LAL +2.7%

LAL +39.3%

LAL +0.5%

BOS -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	LAL	NBA	BOS	LAL	NBA
this game	14.3	16.7	15.5	101.1	113.0	104.0
season	14.4	15.7		104.7	105.8
opponent	15.3	16.0		108.8	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.8	13.3	17.3	14.3	14.3
LAL	17.3	15.5	17.0	17.0	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Blount	56	54	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.11	8	-17	25	14.8	13.7	1.13	16.0	17.6	-1.65
Delonte West	11	10	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.10	5	-14	19	8.6	15.1	-6.45	24.3	15.7	8.57
Kendrick Perkins	6	6	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-12	15	5.8	14.9	-9.08	25.0	16.1	8.92
Raef LaFrentz	70	69	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-8	7	14.8	12.9	1.95	15.9	18.8	-2.88
Paul Pierce	57	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.07	-3	-6	3	13.8	15.1	-1.33	16.7	16.6	0.16
Tony Allen	17	15	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	3	-15	15.3	14.1	1.18	15.2	16.9	-1.75
Marcus Banks	20	20	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.13	-4	-5	1	12.1	14.9	-2.83	16.6	16.7	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	11	11	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.03	-8	-1	-7	16.9	14.0	2.92	16.8	16.6	0.18
Gary Payton	69	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-2	-5	15.3	11.6	3.72	16.0	18.6	-2.60
Jiri Welsch	42	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-4	-1	14.5	14.2	0.22	17.0	16.4	0.70
Al Jefferson	30	32	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.12	-13	4	-17	14.0	14.5	-0.44	17.5	16.2	1.33
Ricky Davis	81	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	-1	-7	14.6	12.9	1.63	16.4	18.2	-1.82

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	53	53	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.18	21	-12	33	16.5	16.9	-0.45	15.1	13.3	1.80
Lamar Odom	60	63	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.20	14	-5	19	17.2	15.7	1.45	14.8	13.4	1.36
Chucky Atkins	49	52	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.20	13	-4	17	16.8	16.5	0.33	15.3	13.1	2.27
Brian Grant	25	23	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	-4	17	18.2	16.1	2.11	14.3	14.3	0.02
Kobe Bryant	79	80	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	5	-1	16.6	16.8	-0.12	14.2	15.0	-0.79
Chris Mihm	63	66	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	10	-11	15.7	18.8	-3.16	14.8	13.2	1.64
Slava Medvedenko	9	9	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	10	-11	13.6	17.0	-3.44	11.8	14.6	-2.82
Sasha Vujacic	2	2	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	11	-13	26.5	16.4	10.06	9.0	14.4	-5.45
Luke Walton	68	71	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	15	-21	16.8	16.2	0.67	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Brian Cook	23	23	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	13	-17	16.6	16.7	-0.13	14.3	14.3	-0.03
Tierre Brown	29	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	15	-21	16.6	16.7	-0.16	11.0	15.8	-4.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.32,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.78,0.96,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 102, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.5,0.34,0.4,0.27,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	93.8%
CHI 87, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.89,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.96,1,1,1	93.3%
CLE 98, WAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.37,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.92,1	93.2%