NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	9.5 [96]		MVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): +31.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	29.4 [38]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): -17.3%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.22,0.22	-0.01	0.21	-0.02	11	54%	0.29	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.08	-0.00	16	71%	0.26	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Draymond Green	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.05,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.01	9	80%	0.32	6	-0.25	2	100%	0.02
Ian Clark	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	56%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.2,-0.02	0.20	-0.23	-0.01	23	62%	-0.02	0	0.00	12	100%	0.07
Shaun Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	3	67%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	3	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Andre Iguodala	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	4	0%	-0.07	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.13,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.18,0.32	0.32	-0.03	0.35	0.00	27	45%	0.38	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.06	0.21	-0.02	22	61%	0.42	5	-0.13	7	43%	-0.12
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.09	-0.05	0.06	13	59%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	-0.00	7	71%	0.07	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Liggins	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	9	32%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	11	31%	-0.12	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	32.2	3.5	32.4	16.7	31.0	3.4	35.7	155.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW -1.5%

GSW -7.8%

CLE +12.0%

CLE +43.0%

CLE +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	CLE	NBA	GSW	CLE	NBA
this game	12.9	15.3	14.8	105.9	106.9	107.7
season	13.5	14.9		114.9	113.5
opponent	14.7	15.1		109.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.5	14.2	11.5	12.8	12.9
CLE	13.7	17.1	14.2	16.7	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Clark	18	19	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.10	-2	1	-3	11.4	13.3	-1.82	14.3	15.5	-1.27
Zaza Pachulia	27	29	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-3	5	13.2	12.8	0.38	15.0	15.4	-0.41
Kevon Looney	12	12	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-2	3	13.7	12.8	0.92	13.4	15.5	-2.13
JaVale McGee	20	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-1	1	13.1	12.9	0.20	13.7	15.7	-1.98
Patrick McCaw	1	0	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.02	-1	0	-1	0.0	13.1	-13.07	0.0	15.3	-15.29
David West	29	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	1	-3	14.4	12.4	2.06	15.0	15.4	-0.36
Stephen Curry	78	81	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	0	-1	13.1	12.5	0.52	15.1	16.2	-1.13
Shaun Livingston	36	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	1	-3	12.7	13.1	-0.38	17.0	14.4	2.64
Kevin Durant	83	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-1	1	12.7	14.0	-1.30	15.2	15.8	-0.59
Andre Iguodala	53	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.51	0	-1	1	12.6	13.3	-0.62	15.9	14.6	1.29
Draymond Green	66	68	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.52	-1	0	-1	12.6	13.6	-0.95	15.7	14.5	1.19
Klay Thompson	87	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.59	1	-2	3	13.3	10.7	2.67	15.3	15.5	-0.24

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyrie Irving	93	94	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.55	5	-4	9	15.4	13.8	1.66	13.1	10.9	2.24
Richard Jefferson	58	58	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.49	6	-5	11	15.9	14.4	1.52	13.1	12.7	0.34
LeBron James	85	85	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.53	4	-3	7	14.9	17.3	-2.40	13.1	11.9	1.20
Kevin Love	66	67	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.24	12	-11	23	15.2	15.4	-0.19	13.4	12.1	1.35
Iman Shumpert	62	62	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	3	-5	15.9	14.4	1.43	12.4	13.7	-1.29
DeAndre Liggins	48	48	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.16	-9	10	-19	15.3	15.3	0.07	12.7	13.1	-0.40
Channing Frye	36	35	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.08	-3	4	-7	14.6	15.7	-1.01	12.6	13.1	-0.56
Tristan Thompson	62	61	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	-0.05	-8	9	-17	14.9	15.9	-1.08	12.6	13.4	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.33,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.32,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.17,0.29,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.17,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 116, LAL 118	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.45,0.43,0.27,1	91.5%
SAS 93, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.42,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.31,0.39,0.55,0.58,1	90.7%
ORL 110, MIL 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.28,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.21,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.29,0.22,0.45,0.55,0.09,0.23,1	90.4%