NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	92		Excitement	7.0 [455]		MVP	Zach LaVine (MIN): +20.6%
Atlanta Hawks	84		Comeback	1.9 [366]		LVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): -21.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.12	0.00	12	64%	0.26	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.12	0.01	19	49%	0.16	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kris Dunn	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	5	55%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	25%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	10	55%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	83%	0.12	6	-0.19	2	100%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	10	35%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	16	47%	0.00	6	-0.22	4	75%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dennis Schroder	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.12	-0.03	21	50%	0.18	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.02	0.02	9	84%	0.13	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	18	43%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.05
Mike Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.09	-0.03	10	50%	0.06	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	1.8	28.1	15.4	26.5	2.6	30.5	125.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +32.2%

MIN +9.1%

MIN +30.6%

ATL -21.9%

ATL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	ATL	NBA	MIN	ATL	NBA
this game	17.0	15.2	14.8	102.2	94.4	107.7
season	15.3	14.4		109.3	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		104.6	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.8	16.4	16.8	19.2	17.0
ATL	15.5	13.6	15.9	15.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach LaVine	73	72	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.30	6	2	4	16.8	18.1	-1.36	15.1	15.6	-0.53
Gorgui Dieng	74	73	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.19	8	0	8	16.9	17.7	-0.90	15.7	12.7	3.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	71	72	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.31	1	7	-6	16.3	19.6	-3.32	15.0	15.7	-0.68
Andrew Wiggins	73	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.27	2	6	-4	16.2	20.5	-4.27	15.4	14.2	1.21
Kris Dunn	27	26	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	1	6	19.2	16.1	3.11	14.3	15.5	-1.15
Nemanja Bjelica	35	33	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	1	6	18.8	15.9	2.88	14.2	15.7	-1.45
Ricky Rubio	63	63	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	7	-6	16.1	19.2	-3.11	15.5	14.3	1.15
Shabazz Muhammad	34	34	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.04	8	0	8	19.3	15.6	3.67	14.9	15.3	-0.44

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	2	3	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.09	7	-15	22	8.0	15.3	-7.32	14.7	17.1	-2.43
Taurean Prince	19	19	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-6	4	15.1	15.2	-0.13	18.8	16.5	2.25
Malcolm Delaney	12	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-3	-2	13.1	15.5	-2.40	18.2	16.8	1.33
Mike Scott	30	32	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-2	-4	15.1	15.2	-0.04	20.0	15.4	4.64
Kent Bazemore	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-2	-4	15.6	14.1	1.53	16.6	17.8	-1.15
Paul Millsap	75	75	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-9	10	15.3	14.6	0.61	16.5	19.8	-3.35
Mike Muscala	55	54	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-9	10	14.7	15.8	-1.08	17.5	16.2	1.27
Kyle Korver	60	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	5	-18	14.4	16.8	-2.38	17.5	15.9	1.62
Thabo Sefolosha	62	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	2	-12	16.0	13.3	2.72	15.8	19.7	-3.92
Dennis Schroder	69	71	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.35	-7	-1	-6	15.5	14.0	1.49	16.3	19.8	-3.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.37,0.48,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.22,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 114, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.05,0,0,0	91.7%
MEM 103, DEN 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.47,0.39,0.19,0.21,0.11,0.02,0	91.6%
CHI 115, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.38,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.09,0	91.5%