NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	112		Excitement	10.5 [50]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): +106.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	109		Comeback	15.7 [115]		LVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): -29.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	1.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.57,0.75,0.75,0.9,0.9,1.06,1.07	0.41	0.70	0.04	16	90%	1.11	1	-0.04	17	100%	0.21
Avery Bradley	0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	8	73%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
Kelly Olynyk	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.12,0.12	-0.03	0.06	-0.09	7	50%	0.16	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.14
Amir Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.01	0.03	0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Al Horford	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,0	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	19	44%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Jonas Jerebko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	8	59%	0.16	2	-0.17	6	100%	0.07
Gerald Green	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.27	0.27	0.16	0.10	-0.00	13	80%	0.41	2	-0.15	4	100%	0.02
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.19,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.24	0.24	-0.04	0.28	-0.01	16	50%	0.32	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.14	0.00	8	62%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.07	-0.02	14	30%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	4	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	5	50%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.07
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	0.02	-0.32	-0.01	22	49%	-0.25	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	2.0	30.0	14.8	29.1	2.5	36.5	0.2	28.5	168.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +5.1%

BOS +76.2%

MEM -28.4%

MEM -9.8%

BOS +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MEM	NBA	BOS	MEM	NBA
this game	14.0	17.2	14.8	108.7	107.9	107.7
season	14.7	16.1		110.1	106.4
opponent	14.9	14.9		106.7	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	17.4	13.7	13.4	13.5	11.4	14.0
MEM	18.6	15.7	15.9	20.1	14.8	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jae Crowder	80	77	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-8	19	12.9	17.9	-4.93	17.6	15.8	1.75
Al Horford	77	74	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-8	19	13.3	16.2	-2.88	17.9	15.2	2.66
Isaiah Thomas	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.17	8	-5	13	13.8	14.8	-1.00	17.9	15.1	2.81
Amir Johnson	45	46	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.36	-2	5	-7	15.4	12.9	2.50	17.1	17.2	-0.07
Kelly Olynyk	51	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	-1	5	13.2	14.9	-1.71	17.2	17.1	0.14
Avery Bradley	64	62	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	-5	13	13.8	14.4	-0.52	17.9	16.0	1.86
Marcus Smart	46	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	1	1	14.1	14.0	0.09	15.0	18.7	-3.69
Jaylen Brown	19	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	7	-11	18.8	13.0	5.89	16.2	17.4	-1.24
Gerald Green	13	13	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.02	-8	11	-19	15.0	13.9	1.10	17.5	17.1	0.42
Jonas Jerebko	21	21	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	12	-21	17.3	13.2	4.14	16.6	17.3	-0.69
Terry Rozier	13	15	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.03	-9	12	-21	15.2	13.9	1.28	14.3	17.7	-3.41

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	38	40	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.06	8	-11	19	17.4	17.0	0.32	15.3	13.2	2.10
James Ennis III	32	34	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.16	-4	1	-5	17.8	16.9	0.90	14.0	14.0	-0.01
Vince Carter	29	28	0.03	-0.53	0.57	0.00	1	-4	5	16.2	17.5	-1.30	14.9	13.7	1.12
Jarell Martin	35	34	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.18	5	-8	13	15.4	18.1	-2.66	14.6	13.8	0.82
Andrew Harrison	34	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	1	-5	16.8	17.3	-0.52	15.7	13.2	2.48
Mike Conley	69	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.42	5	-8	13	17.3	17.0	0.29	13.3	15.9	-2.63
Troy Daniels	69	70	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.59	3	-6	9	16.4	18.7	-2.32	13.7	14.7	-1.01
JaMychal Green	57	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.18	-12	9	-21	17.6	16.6	0.94	14.1	14.0	0.07
Tony Allen	70	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.37	-8	5	-13	18.1	15.1	2.94	14.0	14.0	0.01
Marc Gasol	72	74	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.35	-9	6	-15	17.6	16.1	1.45	13.1	16.5	-3.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.85,0.78,0.47,0.29,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.32,0.21,0.23,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 102, CLE 100	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.62,0.46,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.33,0.28,0.22,0.15,0	90.2%
SAC 109, SEA 106	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.82,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.4,0.38,0.28,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.29,0.03,0.08,0	88.5%
DEN 113, LAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.86,0.91,0.83,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.36,0.16,0.02,0	87.5%