NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	125		Excitement	5.2 [784]		MVP	Kyle Korver (ATL): +17.8%
Toronto Raptors	121		Comeback	1.1 [388]		LVP	Thabo Sefolosha (ATL): -7.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.16	0.03	0.01	10	90%	0.20	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0.15	0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.19	0.01	0.05	13	75%	0.16	1	-0.01	10	70%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	12	77%	0.18	3	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Malcolm Delaney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	64%	0.09	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	16	40%	0.04	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Mike Muscala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.15	-0.02	0.07	16	71%	0.12	3	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	0.00	0.06	12	65%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.05	7	67%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.04	5	92%	0.06	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	31%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.02	0.07	26	59%	0.05	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Lucas Nogueira	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.5	36.5	15.4	29.5	2.6	39.1	149.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +32.6%

TOR -0.2%

ATL +18.8%

TOR -5.9%

ATL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	TOR	NBA	ATL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.6	15.4	14.8	134.4	130.1	107.7
season	14.4	15.2		104.2	110.0
opponent	14.9	14.9		106.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.9	13.5	16.1	17.5	15.6
TOR	17.2	18.3	13.3	13.0	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	66	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.16	15	-11	26	15.9	14.7	1.26	15.2	15.9	-0.73
Kent Bazemore	42	40	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-10	24	14.6	16.4	-1.80	17.4	13.9	3.54
Malcolm Delaney	45	43	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.01	18	-14	32	14.1	16.9	-2.81	16.6	14.4	2.22
Paul Millsap	55	56	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.38	-4	8	-12	16.5	14.3	2.19	14.4	16.9	-2.55
Kyle Korver	44	41	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.14	4	0	4	15.5	15.7	-0.20	15.6	15.3	0.27
Thabo Sefolosha	55	56	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.36	-8	12	-20	15.6	15.6	0.01	14.8	16.4	-1.57
Mike Muscala	33	33	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	0	4	13.3	16.8	-3.50	17.7	14.2	3.50
Tim Hardaway Jr.	68	72	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.25	-5	9	-14	16.4	13.2	3.17	14.9	17.2	-2.30
Kris Humphries	2	1	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	5	-6	12.5	15.6	-3.13	22.0	15.3	6.66
Dennis Schroder	55	57	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.47	-17	21	-38	16.7	14.0	2.68	14.1	17.5	-3.46

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Lowry	73	71	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.47	17	-21	38	14.7	18.0	-3.37	16.4	12.9	3.53
Patrick Patterson	69	68	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.50	18	-22	40	15.0	16.5	-1.41	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Jonas Valanciunas	51	50	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-7	10	15.0	15.9	-0.86	15.7	15.3	0.39
Pascal Siakam	15	15	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.08	-9	5	-14	18.7	14.8	3.88	16.5	15.4	1.16
DeMarre Carroll	46	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	2	-8	14.7	16.1	-1.32	15.8	15.3	0.53
Norman Powell	22	22	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.04	-8	4	-12	16.5	15.1	1.49	14.8	15.8	-0.97
Terrence Ross	42	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	2	-8	14.4	16.3	-1.92	16.2	15.0	1.19
Lucas Nogueira	26	26	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	9	-22	17.5	14.6	2.96	13.9	16.2	-2.27
DeMar DeRozan	72	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	4	-12	15.2	16.1	-0.89	15.3	16.4	-1.12
Cory Joseph	49	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	4	-12	16.6	14.1	2.50	14.8	16.6	-1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.27,0.2,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, SEA 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.24,0.25,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
LAL 113, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.35,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.2,0.19,0.23,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
DAL 108, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.5%