inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Portland Trail Blazers 120 Excitement3.2 [1155] MVPDanilo Gallinari (DEN): +14.0%
Denver Nuggets 132 Comeback1.0 [902] LVPEvan Turner (POR): -9.3%


Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
CJ McCollum0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.000.011757%0.091-0.026100%0.02
Mason Plumlee0.050,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.130.000.071070%0.0500.00743%-0.02
Maurice Harkless0.020,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.00-0.03756%0.052-0.022100%0.01
Pat Connaughton0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tim Quarterman0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shabazz Napier0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Allen Crabbe-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.04656%0.021-0.024100%0.01
Jake Layman-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Damian Lillard-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.220.000.242273%0.045-0.061191%0.01
Noah Vonleh-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02837%-0.021-0.0100%0.00
Ed Davis-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.00-0.02325%-0.021-0.012100%0.01
Meyers Leonard-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.010.000.04350%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Evan Turner-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.12-0.00-0.031135%-0.043-0.05475%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.190.010.051379%0.162-0.028100%0.02
Gary Harris0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.160.000.071178%0.0800.001100%-0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.00-0.01868%0.102-0.026100%0.02
Nikola Jokic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.100.000.05687%0.071-0.01367%-0.01
Wilson Chandler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.05-0.020.00-0.071646%0.062-0.01560%-0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.060.000.031162%0.041-0.012100%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.03671%0.074-0.052100%0.01
Jusuf Nurkic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Kenneth Faried0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.000.02569%0.022-0.02683%-0.00
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.00-0.01629%-0.031-0.022100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.435.515.830.01.835.2144.0
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +43.6%
DEN +0.8%
POR -0.1%
DEN +3.3%
DEN +2.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPORDENNBAPORDENNBA
this game13.414.614.8116.5128.2107.7
season14.914.4108.6111.6
opponent14.514.5111.2109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
POR13.613.415.511.013.4
DEN15.212.713.317.114.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Pat Connaughton220.00-0.500.50-0.062-141617.513.34.2118.514.53.99
Tim Quarterman220.00-0.500.50-0.062-141617.513.34.2118.514.53.99
Shabazz Napier220.00-0.500.50-0.062-141617.513.34.2118.514.53.99
Jake Layman77-0.02-0.480.47-0.072-141619.112.96.1913.114.7-1.56
Ed Davis3333-0.09-0.410.32-0.152-141613.013.5-0.5013.814.9-1.09
Meyers Leonard2322-0.18-0.320.14-0.15-1-111011.014.0-2.9914.014.7-0.70
Noah Vonleh3738-0.23-0.270.05-0.08-5-7215.812.03.8514.514.6-0.15
Allen Crabbe6162-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.09-6-6011.815.6-3.7614.614.6-0.03
CJ McCollum7576-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.14-6-6013.014.2-1.2115.013.51.46
Mason Plumlee5858-0.32-0.18-0.140.15-164-2014.112.51.6015.014.01.01
Maurice Harkless7877-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.12-8-4-413.213.9-0.7315.212.82.39
Evan Turner5655-0.35-0.15-0.200.15-175-2212.814.1-1.2813.815.5-1.62
Damian Lillard8181-0.39-0.11-0.27-0.06-11-1-1013.811.91.8614.216.0-1.85

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Danilo Gallinari76760.360.140.220.1284415.312.72.5613.413.20.20
Nikola Jokic42420.340.160.18-0.1015-31814.214.9-0.6414.712.42.31
Gary Harris66660.330.170.16-0.0513-11415.513.12.4013.313.5-0.18
Emmanuel Mudiay46460.290.210.07-0.01102814.214.9-0.6814.712.32.44
Wilson Chandler74750.230.27-0.030.23012-1214.714.40.2513.513.00.56
Jamal Murray40390.230.27-0.040.0275212.715.8-3.0112.813.7-0.84
Jameer Nelson57570.210.29-0.070.15210-814.914.20.6812.314.7-2.44
Will Barton50490.200.30-0.100.17111-1013.815.3-1.4613.413.30.15
Kenneth Faried54540.180.32-0.140.21-113-1415.313.81.5612.414.5-2.14
Jusuf Nurkic10110.130.37-0.24-0.0257-212.014.9-2.8713.613.30.30


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.86,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 93, OKC 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.99,1,1,196.9%
CLE 75, CHI 970.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
MEM 101, NYK 1080.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,196.6%